NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc78f800fe0959fc2532521fd13f6c03fbf9c0a2a9fc06ef78e3d2c00ef94c420
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Under | 50c | 35,505$17,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,824.66 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 34,922$17,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,763.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 10,666$5,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,084.41 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 51c | 9,819$5,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.61 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 48c | 7,405$3,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,847.04 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 51c | 6,562$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.66 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 53c | 6,231$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.58 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 4,432$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.26 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 48c | 3,758$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.78 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 2,102$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.04 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 2,046$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.44 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 1,564$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 1,523$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 1,468$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.97 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…81ecbacked Under | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 52c | 1,068$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.36 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 51c | 937$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.13 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 55c | 836.36$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 782.99$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 53c | 662.42$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.49 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 50c | 534.51$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.6 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Over | 54c | 440$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 51c | 427.93$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.72 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Over | 51c | 404.08$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.08 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 392.4$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.35 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 336$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 11c | 275.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 203.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 48c | 187$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…8f73backed Under | 14c | 185.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Under | 55c | 174.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 151.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…5c46backed Under | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Over | 50c | 101.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed Under | 55c | 67.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 51c | 61.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 53c | 59.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 53.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 53c | 46.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 54c | 40.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 49c | 40.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 51c | 39.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 49c | 33.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Under | 54c | 32.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 49c | 30.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Over | 54c | 27.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…869abacked Under | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 50c | 25.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -10.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Jazz won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jazz vs. MagicMagic won
- Jazz vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Jazz won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.