TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,737 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bd7…373ebacked Under54c79,427$42,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,8939350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c68,526$32,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,011.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under54c42,154$22,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,396.91,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over48c19,700$9,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,484.611,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over48c12,708$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,10020948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c9,746$4,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,582.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c6,241$3,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.112,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c6,210$2,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,868.093,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b33…1a8abacked Over50c5,960$2,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,980250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c4,517$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.255,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c3,791$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.831,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c53…6790backed Under50c2,900$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under49c2,523$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.6425049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over46c2,429$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.13,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under49c2,141$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.8224847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under49c2,114$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.053,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d8…3463backed Under50c2,100$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0502100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe855…fba9backed Under51c2,021$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.461163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over51c1,930$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.1356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Over45c1,820$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.710642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under52c1,252$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.9242648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over45c1,110$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.522143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57f7…4ba1backed Under50c960$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c840.95$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.74,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over52c736.38$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.23,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over47c704.23$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.2766646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Over49c495$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5547354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc3…4145backed Under56c359.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+157.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over42c306.9$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.96,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under51c267.67$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.262,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c218.33$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under50c199.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8441052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Over48c193.19$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7713750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over47c190$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.343052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6811157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81b7…bd2abacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over46c163$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9853839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.532346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under58c132.76$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.761,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c10…5796backed Under58c120.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.691855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed Under49c117$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.195644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under54c102.68$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3721948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under56c101.72$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7621446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4942551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4941354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over44c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.535744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under50c99.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7395047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under38c78.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9455846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over50c71.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9720949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Over49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515038%57 W · 93 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe995…1e98backed Over46c67.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0462…c8f4backed Under49c65.81$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.26825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under44c60.82$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.933,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Under54c53.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6340849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over47c52.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e07…b908backed Under58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2547948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under49c47.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9253043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x720b…f00dbacked Under53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under55c47.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9839047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under58c41.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3149358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba88…ec75backed Over52c40.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.083243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under56c40.28$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7857657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Under51c36.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.038243.9%36 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under53c36.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.142,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x640d…3168backed Under58c31.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.033452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Over57c31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6718957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over42c30.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7750841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c7…d11ebacked Under56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.24257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Under56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.241251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x935d…4605backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.35162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11a3…8593backed Under57c29.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.822842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b07…869abacked Under52c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.923551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over47c27.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0543246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over43c25.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.795,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d5…e01ebacked Under51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…91c0backed Under58c24.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.284562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under54c24.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.296235.5%22 W · 40 L-10.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3161…8e02backed Under52c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Under50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1115253.3%81 W · 71 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Under49c21.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7325143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaf1…0b3dbacked Under59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.23754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Under54c19.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0516036.3%58 W · 102 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4906…46a1backed Under58c19.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.093351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb664…5ca7backed Under57c19.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.424656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43af…da96backed Under57c18.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.924850%24 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.