NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9f6fa5597c0410bf256a0b1da8dcd0074da323d91a881acef72f54d5621712c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Under | 54c | 79,427$42,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,893 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 68,526$32,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,011.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 54c | 42,154$22,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,396.9 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 48c | 19,700$9,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,484.61 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over | 48c | 12,708$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 9,746$4,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,582.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 6,241$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.11 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 6,210$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.09 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…1a8abacked Over | 50c | 5,960$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 4,517$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.25 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 3,791$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.83 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c53…6790backed Under | 50c | 2,900$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 49c | 2,523$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.64 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 46c | 2,429$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.1 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 49c | 2,141$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.82 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 2,114$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…3463backed Under | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe855…fba9backed Under | 51c | 2,021$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 51c | 1,930$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.13 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Over | 45c | 1,820$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.7 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 52c | 1,252$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.92 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 45c | 1,110$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…4ba1backed Under | 50c | 960$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 840.95$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.7 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 52c | 736.38$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.2 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 47c | 704.23$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.27 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 49c | 495$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.55 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…4145backed Under | 56c | 359.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 42c | 306.9$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 51c | 267.67$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.26 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 218.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 50c | 199.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Over | 48c | 193.19$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 47c | 190$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…bd2abacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 46c | 163$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 58c | 132.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…5796backed Under | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Under | 49c | 117$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 54c | 102.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 56c | 101.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 44c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 99.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 38c | 78.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 50c | 71.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…1e98backed Over | 46c | 67.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…c8f4backed Under | 49c | 65.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 60.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 54c | 53.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 47c | 52.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…b908backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 49c | 47.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…f00dbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 55c | 47.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 58c | 41.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba88…ec75backed Over | 52c | 40.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 56c | 40.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Under | 51c | 36.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 36.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…3168backed Under | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 57c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 42c | 30.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…4605backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…8593backed Under | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…869abacked Under | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 47c | 27.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 25.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d5…e01ebacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…91c0backed Under | 58c | 24.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 54c | 24.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -10.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…8e02backed Under | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 49c | 21.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…0b3dbacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 54c | 19.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…46a1backed Under | 58c | 19.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…5ca7backed Under | 57c | 19.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Under | 57c | 18.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Jazz won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jazz vs. MagicMagic won
- Jazz vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Jazz won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.