NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27209c35c82c89adeb3a54dc21cf3a41198abb698204fffac1fe8e732190464e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Under | 56c | 33,710$18,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,974.97 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 17,194$7,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,719.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 55c | 11,668$6,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250.65 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Over | 45c | 10,360$4,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,662 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Over | 48c | 10,250$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 46c | 8,913$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Under | 53c | 6,361$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.52 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 43c | 3,808$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.94 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 2,248$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.77 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 2,007$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.23 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…8f73backed Over | 2c | 1,900$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 33c | 1,785$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.47 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 1,702$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.89 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 48c | 1,529$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.55 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 52c | 1,093$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.53 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Under | 71c | 1,025$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.65 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 44c | 797.23$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.94 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 64c | 780.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.32 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 52c | 780.06$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.74 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 700.46$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.87 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 663.59$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 595.88$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.93 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 579.73$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.29 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Under | 68c | 441.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.84 | 128 | 65.6%84 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 58c | 436.39$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed Under | 57c | 419.65$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.65 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…8b14backed Under | 62c | 402.39$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.39 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 350.91$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.23 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 42c | 333.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 77c | 295.11$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 252.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.33 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 62c | 207.42$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Under | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 45c | 162.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 43c | 162$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Under | 60c | 145$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 52c | 118.69$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 32c | 116$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 45c | 107.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…565cbacked Under | 72c | 103.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 74c | 102.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 51c | 99.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Over | 47c | 93.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Over | 46c | 93.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…09c9backed Over | 41c | 92.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…d6a8backed Under | 62c | 81.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddec…2872backed Under | 61c | 81.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Under | 62c | 80.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d2…a62dbacked Under | 53c | 76.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…c7e6backed Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 53c | 74.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 62c | 64.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 52c | 56.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 60c | 53.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd75…ae75backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Over | 52c | 48.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 44c | 48.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 66c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 44c | 44.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Over | 50c | 37.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…ad6cbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fc…07e3backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 57c | 29.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…869abacked Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 60c | 25.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Jazz won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jazz vs. MagicMagic won
- Jazz vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Jazz won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.