NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Wizards

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb603d3b8fb988c91d4dbd6cd91499ee9cb174916e1c170b28aae83ecb68fb781

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Wizards
Resolved: Feb 8, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,258,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,227,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,258,068 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 575 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Wizards	17c	108,709$18,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,393.42	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards	19c	103,497$20,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,013.9	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Wizards	16c	80,000$13,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,100	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Wizards	17c	63,301$10,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,761.25	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Wizards	22c	33,765$7,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,260.54	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Wizards	16c	30,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,799.99	287	42.9%123 W · 164 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	17c	18,845$3,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,133.73	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x419b…0944backed Heat	80c	11,979$9,583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,395.71	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Wizards	13c	11,800$1,589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,588.86	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9958…36b9backed Wizards	16c	11,800$1,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,888	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards	4c	10,872$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.47	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Heat	79c	10,822$8,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,272.53	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	17c	10,150$1,716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,715.5	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Wizards	16c	10,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Wizards	15c	10,000$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Heat	74c	10,000$7,395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,605.04	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+5.9wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Wizards	21c	9,600$2,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,016	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Wizards	21c	8,571$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	154	35.7%55 W · 99 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Wizards	1c	8,539$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.99	679	11%75 W · 604 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards	3c	7,122$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.7	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Wizards	24c	6,089$1,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,475	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards	16c	5,541$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.91	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Wizards	1c	5,493$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.18	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Wizards	20c	5,362$1,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,072.4	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Wizards	17c	5,211$861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.19	272	47.1%128 W · 144 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Wizards	20c	5,013$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Wizards	18c	5,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Wizards	14c	5,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.99	219	51.1%112 W · 107 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Wizards	16c	5,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.99	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Heat	79c	5,000$3,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,049.96	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5038…0ce7backed Wizards	20c	4,738$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.6	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Wizards	9c	4,119$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.39	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Wizards	17c	4,000$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Wizards	16c	3,986$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637.74	143	44.8%64 W · 79 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Heat	78c	3,827$2,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$833.68	93	44.1%41 W · 52 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac87…88c7backed Wizards	29c	3,800$1,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120.91	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…7edcbacked Heat	71c	3,791$2,673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,118.23	43	65.1%28 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Wizards	16c	3,766$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.92	125	40.8%51 W · 74 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	3,632$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.32	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac3b…4de3backed Wizards	20c	3,600$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x700a…68e1backed Wizards	5c	3,590$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.18	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeeb3…5ceabacked Wizards	16c	3,379$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.9	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed Wizards	17c	3,324$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards	1c	3,283$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.92	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Wizards	8c	3,276$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.02	117	13.7%16 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards	16c	3,125$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Heat	78c	3,071$2,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661.72	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5f…db04backed Heat	69c	3,000$2,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.98	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Wizards	25c	2,727$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Wizards	17c	2,500$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	617	40.7%251 W · 366 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Wizards	4c	2,500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	177	23.7%42 W · 135 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10c1…7a84backed Wizards	16c	2,500$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+3.0wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Wizards	16c	2,500$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards	18c	2,500$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.99	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3de…fa79backed Wizards	20c	2,473$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.6	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Wizards	25c	2,392$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.88	251	46.2%116 W · 135 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34f9…9c19backed Wizards	19c	2,300$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed Wizards	21c	2,054$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.27	97	57.7%56 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Heat	80c	2,000$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Wizards	17c	2,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Wizards	18c	1,952$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	481	32.6%157 W · 324 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Wizards	20c	1,857$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	135	36.3%49 W · 86 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Heat	78c	1,856$1,448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.32	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Heat	79c	1,810$1,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.1	199	58.3%116 W · 83 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Wizards	17c	1,765$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Wizards	1c	1,736$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Wizards	30c	1,705$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	336	32.4%109 W · 227 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Wizards	5c	1,700$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	386	49.5%191 W · 195 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wizards	21c	1,674$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.69	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0d8…480bbacked Wizards	16c	1,673$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.71	83	36.1%30 W · 53 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Wizards	17c	1,666$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.23	419	47.7%200 W · 219 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f7f…5ccbbacked Wizards	16c	1,620$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2790…2233backed Wizards	18c	1,600$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	197	35%69 W · 128 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Wizards	18c	1,588$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.93	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Wizards	14c	1,548$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.75	295	47.5%140 W · 155 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Wizards	18c	1,499$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.84	125	24.8%31 W · 94 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Wizards	16c	1,475$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	217	43.8%95 W · 122 L	-9.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Wizards	21c	1,429$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Wizards	17c	1,376$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.56	79	40.5%32 W · 47 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdda6…925abacked Wizards	5c	1,310$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.32	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards	29c	1,301$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03a0…ff20backed Heat	70c	1,285$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.57	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Wizards	17c	1,259$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Wizards	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	428	27.3%117 W · 311 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ad…29a7backed Wizards	19c	1,232$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+18%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1215…2699backed Wizards	20c	1,229$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.8	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d6…d1e3backed Wizards	16c	1,213$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	199	49.7%99 W · 100 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae01…65d8backed Heat	80c	1,203$962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.6	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a8a…ba8ebacked Wizards	21c	1,197$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.37	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Wizards	14c	1,180$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.2	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-5.3wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4027…30b9backed Wizards	20c	1,155$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Wizards	10c	1,087$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.46	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffaf…e1babacked Wizards	1c	1,080$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd956…4ea0backed Wizards	19c	1,064$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Wizards	21c	1,061$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.34	385	40.3%155 W · 230 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Wizards	19c	1,055$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.45	699	29.8%208 W · 491 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wizards	9c	1,036$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.4	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Wizards	33c	1,020$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.6	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Heat	72c	1,019$736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.39	214	40.7%87 W · 127 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xacce…ce8abacked Wizards	23c	1,019$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.55	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Heat vs. Wizardsthis page
1H Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat won
Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 16.5No won
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 16.5No won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5No won
Bub Carrington: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Heat vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineHeat won
Heat vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Heat vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Under won
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Under won
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Under won
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Under won
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Under won
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Under won
Justin Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Spread: Heat (-10.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-11.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-12.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-13.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-20.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-22.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-24.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-27.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-31.5)Wizards won
Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Wizards

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event