NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45b2da9a1f55fbffd390e5dfdb7c6e5e0fbc424966224ba8592106c2ef5ed8a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Heat | 58c | 14,789$8,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,217.05 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 44c | 7,942$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Heat | 53c | 7,424$3,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.28 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…9cbdbacked Wizards | 47c | 7,424$3,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 43c | 3,814$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.23 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Heat | 54c | 3,711$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.9 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Wizards | 48c | 2,740$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.16 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…1ffebacked Wizards | 48c | 2,250$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…6ae2backed Heat | 52c | 2,250$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.77 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 43c | 2,184$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Heat | 61c | 1,500$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.04 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards | 46c | 1,403$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.85 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…ac40backed Wizards | 44c | 1,373$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.23 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 41c | 1,362$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.48 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Heat | 54c | 1,200$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.01 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 52c | 1,148$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.2 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Wizards | 41c | 1,119$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.8 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Wizards | 40c | 1,058$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.06 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Wizards | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Heat | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Heat | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Heat | 52c | 728$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.44 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Heat | 59c | 674.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.95 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Heat | 60c | 661.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.43 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Wizards | 40c | 427.5$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 42c | 393.07$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.53 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Heat | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Heat | 61c | 345.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 46c | 339.73$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wizards | 50c | 315.75$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed Wizards | 61c | 262.66$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Heat | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 40c | 245.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Heat | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…2a69backed Wizards | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Heat | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Wizards | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Heat | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Heat | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Heat | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Wizards | 41c | 176$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 47c | 168.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Wizards | 11c | 156.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Wizards | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Wizards | 48c | 148.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heat | 49c | 126.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Wizards | 39c | 116$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Wizards | 44c | 107.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…fd21backed Wizards | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Heat | 53c | 94.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Wizards | 42c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…0e69backed Heat | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba88…ec75backed Wizards | 49c | 66.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Wizards | 42c | 61.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Heat | 60c | 59.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Heat | 60c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wizards | 43c | 55.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Heat | 57c | 53.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…2c38backed Wizards | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Wizards | 48c | 47.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Heat | 46c | 45.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Wizards | 41c | 42.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…c2e2backed Wizards | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +54%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Wizards | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Wizards | 59c | 39.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…5324backed Heat | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Wizards | 40c | 37.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Wizards | 40c | 36.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Heat | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Heat | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Heat | 62c | 32.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Heat | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Heat | 52c | 31.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Wizards | 48c | 31.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed Wizards | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Heat | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebfe…bdd0backed Heat | 56c | 28.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…cbf0backed Heat | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Heat | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Heat | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…196ebacked Heat | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…ed83backed Heat | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Heat | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Heat | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Wizards | 55c | 18.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Heat | 59c | 18.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Heat | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Heat | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa3…5f73backed Heat | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Bub Carrington: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Heat vs. WizardsHeat won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Under won
- Justin Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-11.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-12.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-13.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-20.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-22.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-24.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-27.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-31.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.