TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f69…1ffe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,478Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,477.6
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$8,537.12
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,043Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+132.6%+$1,382.28
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,996.04
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,055Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,974.26
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+212.5%+$2,019.56
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,707Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+156.4%+$2,669.97
Game Handicap: DRX.C (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5)backed DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,264.95
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$819.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+99%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Como 1907 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$961.34
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$2,030.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,959.71
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,049.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$845Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+134.7%+$1,138.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$1,001.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,038.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,057Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$765.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$955Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+37%+$353.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-2.5)backed George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$3,332.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$4,458.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.