NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07c2bae181932a9288618270aef0c6536e8a92edcd7965171f52889419a99492
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 54c | 113,292$61,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,610.73 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 45c | 37,788$16,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,927.81 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 49c | 25,983$12,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,351.72 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 53c | 16,977$8,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,996.33 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc43…7c45backed Lakers | 47c | 13,571$6,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,192.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1f43backed Lakers | 47c | 12,605$5,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,677.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Lakers | 47c | 10,717$5,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,653.24 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Lakers | 47c | 8,156$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,322.59 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Warriors | 52c | 7,721$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,987.55 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…382cbacked Lakers | 45c | 6,396$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,517.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 44c | 5,995$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Lakers | 47c | 5,974$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.47 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Lakers | 45c | 5,920$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 52c | 5,590$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.73 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Lakers | 47c | 5,413$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.77 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Lakers | 48c | 5,375$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 52c | 5,285$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Warriors | 52c | 4,798$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.84 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 45c | 4,384$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Warriors | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…1ffebacked Lakers | 48c | 3,796$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 62c | 3,477$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.17 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…ed37backed Lakers | 45c | 3,169$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed Warriors | 41c | 3,000$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 45c | 2,929$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.59 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Lakers | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.19 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Warriors | 38c | 2,532$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.72 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Warriors | 53c | 2,100$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 53c | 1,981$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.93 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 54c | 1,818$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.73 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 42c | 1,801$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.63 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Warriors | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 53c | 1,758$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.09 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors | 49c | 1,739$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.21 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Lakers | 47c | 1,739$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.81 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Lakers | 47c | 1,643$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.55 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lakers | 47c | 1,634$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.08 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…a2c2backed Lakers | 47c | 1,510$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Warriors | 53c | 1,400$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.01 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 44c | 1,380$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.74 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 53c | 1,292$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.93 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Lakers | 49c | 1,156$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.56 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 49c | 1,105$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.25 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Lakers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Lakers | 48c | 1,002$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.04 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Lakers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 48c | 981.08$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.16 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Lakers | 47c | 977.26$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.95 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…5260backed Warriors | 57c | 880$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Lakers | 48c | 864.17$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.37 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Lakers | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…b0ffbacked Warriors | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Warriors | 45c | 628.1$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.8 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Lakers | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Lakers | 53c | 581$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.73 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…8afbbacked Lakers | 49c | 564.85$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Lakers | 47c | 526.06$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.81 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Lakers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Lakers | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 36c | 491.88$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.32 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…fea3backed Lakers | 44c | 467.39$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.39 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Lakers | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Warriors | 53c | 440$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.2 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e8…b97ebacked Lakers | 44c | 429.58$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 39c | 425.72$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.96 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Lakers | 49c | 409.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.55 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Lakers | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 47c | 372$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.16 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Warriors | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Warriors | 50c | 333.42$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.06 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1006…e0e0backed Lakers | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Warriors | 49c | 322$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Lakers | 48c | 281.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lakers | 48c | 273$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Warriors | 38c | 257.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Warriors | 7c | 234.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Lakers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Warriors | 57c | 212.28$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Warriors | 48c | 210.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Lakers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Warriors | 53c | 205$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Lakers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Warriors | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Warriors | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Warriors | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Warriors | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Lakers | 47c | 189.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Warriors | 35c | 180$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Warriors | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48b…1334backed Lakers | 42c | 149.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Lakers | 43c | 149$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a18…0808backed Warriors | 43c | 147.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Warriors | 41c | 140$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Warriors | 54c | 139.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Lakers | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Warriors | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Warriors | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Warriors | 54c | 108.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Lakers | 61c | 106.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Warriors won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jake LaRavia: Points O/U 9.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Warriors vs. LakersLakers won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.