TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,060 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes53c2,555$1,354 inLost-$1,354.1439051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked No47c2,136$1,004 inWon+$1,132.1717454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No50c500$250 inWon+$2501,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked No47c311.7$146 inWon+$165.247354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7671…7244backed Yes50c300$150 inLost-$1501361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No43c286.64$124 inWon+$163.121,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Yes56c276.57$156 inLost-$15636453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No44c217.86$96 inWon+$121.735,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Yes51c196.68$100 inLost-$10037352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No47c99.14$47 inWon+$52.5471449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Yes57c96.49$55 inLost-$556647%31 W · 35 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-20.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbcf…47ddbacked Yes56c93.04$52 inLost-$51.914965.3%32 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8593…c931backed Yes56c71.43$40 inLost-$402846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No46c38$17 inWon+$20.711,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed No51c35.25$18 inWon+$17.421357.7%123 W · 90 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No45c30.01$14 inWon+$16.51,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed No46c30$14 inWon+$16.216550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4da6…0aa0backed Yes50c30$15 inLost-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No45c30$14 inWon+$16.56451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf406…c9bfbacked Yes54c27.78$15 inLost-$158046.3%37 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Yes55c20$11 inLost-$1156454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.