NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66256cf24badf914990a9ed69bf39abb32024afc6a0aaad4d85e6c6a671b2bf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Warriors, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,814,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,126,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,814,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,509 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 45c | 878,137$391,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391,643.98 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Lakers | 54c | 357,838$192,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,605.51 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 57c | 326,927$186,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,586.91 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Warriors | 47c | 322,013$149,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,884.56 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Warriors | 46c | 220,000$101,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,199.98 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 55c | 201,744$111,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,660.16 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers | 63c | 182,040$114,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,612.58 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Lakers | 53c | 151,925$80,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,404.62 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Lakers | 54c | 138,304$74,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,619.78 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 46c | 122,512$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,999.99 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 39c | 104,666$41,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,025.04 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 45c | 99,028$44,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,289.05 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 54c | 79,870$43,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,369.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 57c | 79,814$45,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,154.01 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Warriors | 44c | 79,791$34,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,878 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 43c | 74,416$32,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,132.7 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Warriors | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,500 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…c55fbacked Lakers | 64c | 50,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…bcccbacked Warriors | 36c | 50,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers | 64c | 45,000$28,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,200 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Lakers | 56c | 40,920$22,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,004.98 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Lakers | 55c | 40,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Lakers | 68c | 36,963$25,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,828.27 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Lakers | 55c | 35,059$19,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,776.46 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lakers | 54c | 32,446$17,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,924.99 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Warriors | 47c | 31,785$14,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,938.88 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Lakers | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lakers | 55c | 29,998$16,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,526.16 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Lakers | 57c | 24,711$14,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,625.6 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 39c | 22,965$8,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,908.8 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 45c | 21,600$9,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,754.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Lakers | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,399.99 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Lakers | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,799.93 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 7c | 19,662$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Warriors | 48c | 18,954$9,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,125.51 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 55c | 18,131$10,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,076.85 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 72c | 17,014$12,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796.52 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Warriors | 44c | 16,215$7,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,134.39 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Warriors | 47c | 16,123$7,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,577.81 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 3c | 15,582$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.82 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Warriors | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Lakers | 54c | 14,111$7,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,548.97 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Lakers | 55c | 14,033$7,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,345.3 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lakers | 55c | 13,901$7,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,303.99 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Lakers | 57c | 13,488$7,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.84 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Warriors | 0c | 12,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…f13fbacked Lakers | 53c | 11,111$5,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,222.14 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Lakers | 54c | 11,000$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,079.99 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Warriors | 28c | 10,041$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Warriors | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.98 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 35c | 9,692$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lakers | 58c | 9,560$5,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.2 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Lakers | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers | 53c | 8,958$4,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,168.84 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Lakers | 57c | 8,815$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,814.62 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…625dbacked Lakers | 57c | 8,560$4,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Warriors | 5c | 8,330$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 0c | 8,320$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Warriors | 30c | 8,019$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 57c | 7,568$4,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.78 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Lakers | 57c | 7,498$4,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.25 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…9550backed Lakers | 68c | 7,471$5,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed Lakers | 56c | 7,142$3,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,171.38 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Lakers | 57c | 7,141$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.56 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…4363backed Lakers | 57c | 7,066$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.51 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Warriors | 46c | 6,753$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.15 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Warriors | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Lakers | 63c | 6,251$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Warriors | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.98 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Warriors | 40c | 6,000$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.81 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…a593backed Warriors | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Lakers | 57c | 5,872$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.42 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1e6abacked Lakers | 57c | 5,807$3,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Lakers | 56c | 5,632$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.14 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Lakers | 79c | 5,568$4,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.46 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 44c | 5,500$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Lakers | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.55 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Lakers | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.14 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Lakers | 63c | 5,342$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.08 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Lakers | 55c | 5,291$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.15 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Lakers | 57c | 5,271$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.71 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Warriors | 1c | 5,182$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Warriors | 0c | 5,179$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Lakers | 57c | 5,128$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.04 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Warriors | 42c | 5,078$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.54 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Lakers | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Lakers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 54c | 4,959$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Lakers | 57c | 4,900$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Lakers | 56c | 4,877$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.21 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 26c | 4,858$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 34c | 4,851$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.25 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Lakers | 54c | 4,815$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.81 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Warriors | 20c | 4,805$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.96 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…4987backed Warriors | 34c | 4,797$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Lakers | 54c | 4,751$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.89 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Lakers | 52c | 4,726$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.92 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Lakers | 57c | 4,680$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.2 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…d9dcbacked Warriors | 33c | 4,600$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a9…fb4dbacked Lakers | 67c | 4,600$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Lakersthis page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Warriors won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jake LaRavia: Points O/U 9.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.