TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,499 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Warriors51c82,035$42,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,187.8272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors51c43,017$21,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,947.582,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Lakers49c39,480$19,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,135.0944352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Lakers48c21,516$10,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,188.111,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers49c20,215$9,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,364.114,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Lakers48c13,954$6,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,256.1729347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb84a…055dbacked Lakers49c13,790$6,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,032.93759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Warriors54c13,018$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0005850%29 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Lakers52c5,771$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.159051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Lakers46c5,628$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.621,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Lakers49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors50c3,627$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.31,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Lakers47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.6229650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x188c…c62bbacked Lakers48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6251050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers48c3,101$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.421,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Lakers47c3,046$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.441,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors51c2,084$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.814,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers47c2,002$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.164,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Lakers49c1,840$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.656241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Warriors51c1,546$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.233,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors27c1,416$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.353,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Lakers47c1,292$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.7695651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Lakers52c1,193$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.8215147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Lakers52c1,090$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabba…e3ebbacked Lakers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Lakers48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3331551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Lakers51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Warriors52c694.39$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.058,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Warriors52c668.06$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.279,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Lakers49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2417147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors48c559.29$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.466,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Warriors53c547.17$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors51c507.12$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.413,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Lakers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Warriors49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24571449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Warriors49c497.76$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.99051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Lakers48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6720552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Warriors51c365.61$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5453043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Warriors50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15089050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Warriors48c300$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Warriors53c277$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8185147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Lakers48c248$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.962,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Lakers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3352242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Lakers48c197.92$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9220754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Lakers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3129046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Warriors53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.778652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Warriors52c142.77$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.242,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Lakers47c127.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.652,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Warriors51c114.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5321645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Lakers48c104.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2436842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Lakers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5050653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Warriors53c88.89$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1195047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Lakers47c80.13$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2540849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Lakers47c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7565855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4683…1218backed Lakers61c72.05$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.055345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Lakers49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4323051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc05e…c64dbacked Warriors53c70.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.472646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Warriors51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.747045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Warriors53c68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0438252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Warriors51c64.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.916443.9%72 W · 92 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Warriors51c64.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.915040%60 W · 90 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Lakers48c63.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2450841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Lakers48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.517331.8%55 W · 118 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Lakers48c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4653839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3c8…2f5abacked Lakers49c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.624165.9%27 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Lakers48c60.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4228251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Warriors51c59.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.628243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f28…1b16backed Lakers52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6911250%56 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Lakers52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2411854.2%64 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Warriors53c49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9792750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors45c48.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.843,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x553a…140cbacked Lakers54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.32045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Warriors48c46.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.182,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d23…b5a2backed Lakers49c44.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.98946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…1df6backed Lakers47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.559549.5%47 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Warriors36c42.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.238440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe886…ba86backed Lakers51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e51…92bbbacked Lakers47c39.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6921846.8%102 W · 116 L+16.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Warriors52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Warriors52c37.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7262844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Warriors53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed Warriors51c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.755644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Warriors52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a3…e321backed Lakers60c31.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.758100%8 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+237.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Warriors38c31.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lakers48c28.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.951,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Warriors50c27.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8990357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Warriors53c27.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7557657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x668c…fc62backed Warriors52c27.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.221631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Lakers48c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0819750.3%99 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b07…869abacked Warriors53c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.313551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Lakers49c26.05$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.297851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Warriors52c25.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2225143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da1…26a7backed Lakers49c23.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.768960.7%54 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Warriors52c20.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6914352.4%75 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.