NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6296eee48cf48dbb29df6db8b12128bb62bf058b3a510d5a323267d8c48d436f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 51c | 82,035$42,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,187.82 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 51c | 43,017$21,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,947.58 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Lakers | 49c | 39,480$19,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,135.09 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lakers | 48c | 21,516$10,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,188.11 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 49c | 20,215$9,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,364.11 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Lakers | 48c | 13,954$6,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,256.17 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Lakers | 49c | 13,790$6,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,032.9 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Warriors | 54c | 13,018$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Lakers | 52c | 5,771$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.15 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lakers | 46c | 5,628$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.62 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Lakers | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 50c | 3,627$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.3 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Lakers | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.62 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Lakers | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers | 48c | 3,101$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.42 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Lakers | 47c | 3,046$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.44 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 51c | 2,084$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.81 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 47c | 2,002$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Lakers | 49c | 1,840$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.65 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 51c | 1,546$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.23 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 27c | 1,416$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.35 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Lakers | 47c | 1,292$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.76 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Lakers | 52c | 1,193$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.82 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Lakers | 52c | 1,090$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.2 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabba…e3ebbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Lakers | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Lakers | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 52c | 694.39$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 52c | 668.06$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Lakers | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 48c | 559.29$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Warriors | 53c | 547.17$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 51c | 507.12$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.41 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Lakers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Warriors | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Warriors | 49c | 497.76$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.9 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Lakers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Warriors | 51c | 365.61$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.54 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Warriors | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Warriors | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Warriors | 53c | 277$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.81 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lakers | 48c | 248$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Lakers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Lakers | 48c | 197.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Lakers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Warriors | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 52c | 142.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Lakers | 47c | 127.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Warriors | 51c | 114.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Lakers | 48c | 104.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Lakers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Warriors | 53c | 88.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Lakers | 47c | 80.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Lakers | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Lakers | 61c | 72.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Lakers | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 230 | 51.3%118 W · 112 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…c64dbacked Warriors | 53c | 70.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Warriors | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Warriors | 53c | 68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Warriors | 51c | 64.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Warriors | 51c | 64.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Lakers | 48c | 63.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Lakers | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Lakers | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c8…2f5abacked Lakers | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Lakers | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Warriors | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…1b16backed Lakers | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Lakers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Warriors | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors | 45c | 48.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…140cbacked Lakers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Warriors | 48c | 46.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed Lakers | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…1df6backed Lakers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Warriors | 36c | 42.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…ba86backed Lakers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e51…92bbbacked Lakers | 47c | 39.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Warriors | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Warriors | 52c | 37.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Warriors | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Warriors | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Warriors | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…e321backed Lakers | 60c | 31.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Warriors | 38c | 31.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lakers | 48c | 28.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Warriors | 50c | 27.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Warriors | 53c | 27.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668c…fc62backed Warriors | 52c | 27.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Lakers | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…869abacked Warriors | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Lakers | 49c | 26.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Warriors | 52c | 25.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da1…26a7backed Lakers | 49c | 23.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Warriors | 52c | 20.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Warriors won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jake LaRavia: Points O/U 9.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Warriors vs. LakersLakers won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.