NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x907886e7aaf4e505ad7f4248bb5cec72485e72fe415aa64da1c628a4c813e41f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $534,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $560,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $534,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets | 49c | 102,394$50,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,150.32 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 52c | 76,924$39,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,143.86 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons | 50c | 53,637$26,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,818.31 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 50c | 53,563$26,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,781.63 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pistons | 51c | 38,407$19,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,819.38 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons | 51c | 28,207$14,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,686.66 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets | 49c | 26,341$12,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,914.19 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 50c | 24,414$12,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,138.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Hornets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Hornets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets | 47c | 17,747$8,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,412.29 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Hornets | 50c | 16,429$8,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,214.37 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 51c | 15,858$8,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,734.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Hornets | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,049.97 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 49c | 13,280$6,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,451.66 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets | 50c | 12,032$6,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,006.29 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 50c | 11,730$5,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,883.44 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Hornets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Hornets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Pistons | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Hornets | 51c | 9,043$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 66c | 8,629$5,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets | 50c | 8,614$4,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310.97 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Pistons | 50c | 8,088$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,043.88 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Hornets | 49c | 8,040$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.65 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Hornets | 50c | 7,200$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets | 51c | 6,500$3,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,295 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hornets | 49c | 6,100$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Hornets | 50c | 5,970$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.53 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Hornets | 50c | 5,659$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pistons | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Hornets | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.88 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Hornets | 50c | 4,968$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Pistons | 51c | 4,640$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.45 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…0550backed Pistons | 51c | 4,511$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pistons | 51c | 4,508$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.92 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Hornets | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Hornets | 50c | 4,178$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Pistons | 51c | 4,135$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.92 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pistons | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Hornets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Hornets | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Pistons | 49c | 3,941$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.16 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Hornets | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked Hornets | 48c | 3,891$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Hornets | 52c | 3,851$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…7961backed Hornets | 48c | 3,848$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…1ffebacked Pistons | 52c | 3,848$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Hornets | 49c | 3,637$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Pistons | 51c | 3,125$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Hornets | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…4c2ebacked Pistons | 50c | 2,994$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.99 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Pistons | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…71c9backed Pistons | 50c | 2,760$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Hornets | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Hornets | 51c | 2,453$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.07 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Pistons | 52c | 2,400$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Hornets | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Hornets | 49c | 2,387$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.84 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Pistons | 51c | 2,067$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.42 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…49b6backed Pistons | 52c | 2,013$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…12e4backed Hornets | 48c | 2,013$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd462…eaecbacked Pistons | 52c | 1,965$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.04 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd997…53f2backed Pistons | 52c | 1,926$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Pistons | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Pistons | 53c | 1,411$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.32 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,382$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Hornets | 50c | 1,210$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.2 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets | 49c | 1,155$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.29 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hornets | 50c | 1,098$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.48 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Hornets | 47c | 1,090$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.39 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,070$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.98 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 47c | 1,022$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.83 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hornets | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Hornets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Hornets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Pistons | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Pistons | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pistons | 52c | 800$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.06 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pistons | 51c | 784.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.26 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Hornets | 50c | 723.73$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.87 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Hornets | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bf…2114backed Hornets | 49c | 680$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 62c | 673.5$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Pistons | 51c | 666.67$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.67 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Hornets | 47c | 645.95$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.28 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…efc2backed Pistons | 53c | 630$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons | 67c | 618.92$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.02 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516b…5a77backed Hornets | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Hornets | 49c | 600$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Hornets | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Pistons | 51c | 599.09$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.56 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…b926backed Pistons | 53c | 580$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Pistons | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…5039backed Hornets | 50c | 561.28$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888a…777abacked Hornets | 48c | 550$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Pistons | 51c | 544.71$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.91 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…4213backed Pistons | 53c | 530$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Pistons vs. HornetsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.