TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,843

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,537 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43d1…8e38backed Under55c22,300$12,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74b5…5c97backed Over45c22,274$10,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,029.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over48c15,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,20048352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over0c10,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1567921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c7,878$4,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,770.249,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710a…ed6cbacked Under51c7,800$3,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8222254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x270b…ff56backed Under51c7,800$3,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8221850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2e5…eec3backed Over49c7,800$3,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8221942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c35…5850backed Under51c7,800$3,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8221735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafd1…da41backed Over49c7,800$3,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8222040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8caf…13d0backed Over49c7,800$3,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8222147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x631b…63f3backed Over49c7,153$3,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,505.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under54c4,622$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.342,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b7…189dbacked Under51c3,946$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under54c3,836$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.681,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under59c3,629$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.8183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a3…b806backed Under51c2,908$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under43c2,438$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.753,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over43c2,353$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcde…991fbacked Under51c2,260$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c2,234$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.864,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over38c2,183$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over47c2,131$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012649.2%62 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.992560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…71e5backed Over49c1,961$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under53c1,900$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.5512855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c1,708$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.572,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Over46c1,272$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.1218747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over48c1,242$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.295547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over46c1,135$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.323,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c1,097$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.744,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over53c1,005$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.743,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4807358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under52c961.53$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.531,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9139…0b63backed Over47c957.44$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…e601backed Over70c901.48$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.764259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Over46c877.48$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.568158%47 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38484342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under53c688.68$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.6828838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c566.96$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.973,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under53c541.51$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5119359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30016550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30532952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccd3…be19backed Over46c439.13$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Under54c424.43$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2443453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eda…93ccbacked Over49c410$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.96533.8%22 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over46c319.14$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.82,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under52c304$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9228147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under53c241.51$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5162546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under51c234.49$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.938251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under71c208.97$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0631144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…5b3abacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-54.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over58c204.64$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.321,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9824946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9415154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Over63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12618556.8%105 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16e6…dc3dbacked Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f5…9d13backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.195068%34 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under54c185$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.163447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over47c180.85$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8516347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over52c173$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9654351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Under50c156.45$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1840849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c153.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.183,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6932346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over49c146.9$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9821748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over46c140.76$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7595047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over54c136.74$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.653,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c133$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.321,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d65…c8cebacked Over56c124.03$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.361464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under52c108.88$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8818055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under64c107.74$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.390357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed5e…8da1backed Over46c105.65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under53c103$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.411,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7327747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4235942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4836649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Over48c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Over48c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4817331.8%55 W · 118 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x440a…9599backed Over47c96.11$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458441.7%35 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c92.94$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.52,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over62c90$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.881,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under29c78$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.262,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc76…d308backed Over64c77.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012464.5%80 W · 44 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e6…8b14backed Under52c77.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.871942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Over39c75.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5758754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eee…74e0backed Under52c74.06$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.551353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Under53c66.08$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0814455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over47c64.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3333653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed Under53c63.09$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.859259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60c…a795backed Over50c58.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under41c58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over29c57.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4324330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee57…b2b6backed Over47c54.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.543330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-44.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Under56c53.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5915253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.