TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc128…5b3a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
292
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT7454.1%40 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,427Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,427.13
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.57
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+87.2%+$56.7
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+112.8%+$33.83
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+89.9%+$35.96
Valorant: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked sleepers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+90%+$67.5
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$174.08
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Valorant: SaD Esports vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$139.57
Valorant: sleepers vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked sleepers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$120.16
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Alphabacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$23.1
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+64.8%+$47.99
Valorant: M80 vs Team Evictix - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Evictix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Valorant: sleepers vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked sleepers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+82.1%+$36.68
Valorant: SaD Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$85.23
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+113.8%+$102.39
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$187.89
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$117.75
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 4 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+102.1%+$113.18
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+50.3%+$90.48
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT6767.2%45 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sao Paulo: Emilio Nava vs Jaime Fariabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.99
Naples: Matteo Martineau vs Michele Ribecaibacked Matteo Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Miguel Damasbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+70%+$153.92
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)backed Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Alicante: Zdenek Kolar vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.26
Miami Open: Iva Jovic vs Paula Badosabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Miami Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$37.69
Miami Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Cristina Bucsabacked Cristina Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Miami Open: Katie Boulter vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Diana Shnaider vs Tereza Valentovabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$345.42
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$224.8
Set Handicap: Tagger (-1.5) vs Seidel (+1.5)backed Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$19.26
Miami Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Miami Open: Darwin Blanch vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Morelos: Michael Mmoh vs Alan Rubiobacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$10.92
Miami Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Colton Smithbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$37.3
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van Asschebacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$45.06
Murcia: Jesper de Jong vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Murcia: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.4
Zadar: Laurent Lokoli vs Matej Dodigbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$15.75
Miami Open, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Maria Timofeevabacked Lulu Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$60.7
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$25.32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+134.5%+$80.69
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+156.4%+$46.92
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+125.5%+$79.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+74.3%+$112.97
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$17.97
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+244.8%+$48.97
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$27.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$204.8
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$9.54
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+65.6%+$32.79
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$59.4
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+144.9%+$142
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+89%+$35.61
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$20.08
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$28.97
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$33.6
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+59.5%+$48.5
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-54.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+156.4%+$18.3
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$56.1
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$79.6
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.15
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$62.6
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+45%+$35.15
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-50.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.86
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Toulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$181.66
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+93.9%+$139.48
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.9%+$24.6
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+74.2%+$44.54
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.5%+$6.28
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$34.2
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$64.61
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$62.7
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+73.7%+$25.45
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$15
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$62.58
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+103%+$51.52
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will AZ win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+156.4%+$22.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$235.94
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$37.18
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+107.3%+$107.3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+211.9%+$137.88
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+81.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+125.6%+$25.11
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+75.4%+$17.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on March 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.