Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b50a78b0940dd62a5d4d32306f0c73a94be965a0a05d614f1b17b408b3cfb1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,441,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,503,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,441,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0720…1cdbbacked Yes | 64c | 810,483$518,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292,347.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed No | 36c | 170,000$61,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,393.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed No | 36c | 156,250$56,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 36c | 147,225$53,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,000.87 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 37c | 110,400$40,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,848 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 53,264$19,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,522.12 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 64c | 50,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 37c | 48,000$17,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,760 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 41,432$14,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,207.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 65c | 38,586$24,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,605.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 37c | 33,241$12,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,299 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 37c | 32,800$12,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,136 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 36c | 19,415$7,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,078.18 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 38c | 16,069$6,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,041.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 14,827$5,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,140.63 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 36c | 13,200$4,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,751.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 36c | 8,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 63c | 5,078$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.52 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 36c | 4,801$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.23 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 37c | 4,800$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked No | 36c | 4,644$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Yes | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 37c | 3,781$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.58 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Yes | 41c | 3,649$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 37c | 3,480$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.58 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.96 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 33c | 2,911$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.98 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed No | 37c | 2,800$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 36c | 2,705$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.73 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.99 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 69c | 2,464$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.67 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 2,439$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.78 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 37c | 1,984$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 37c | 1,861$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.57 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 43c | 1,796$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 17c | 1,680$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.77 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 37c | 1,588$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.9 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 36c | 1,580$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.63 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Yes | 42c | 1,548$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 63c | 1,526$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.24 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 75c | 1,524$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.84 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…c746backed Yes | 64c | 1,450$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 37c | 1,421$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.4 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 36c | 1,417$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.2 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 18c | 1,368$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.28 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 1,196$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.83 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01c…7f6cbacked No | 37c | 1,173$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 63c | 1,149$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.13 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 18c | 1,134$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.64 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed No | 36c | 1,072$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 39c | 999.96$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed No | 37c | 987.97$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.3 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 37c | 955$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.35 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 63c | 942.86$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.86 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed No | 37c | 940.03$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 80c | 937.5$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 65c | 863.72$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.79 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 37c | 804.32$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 37c | 800$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 36c | 757.06$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.31 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked No | 9c | 749.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab0d…8ef3backed Yes | 63c | 720$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 70c | 709.99$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 43c | 706.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.38 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 15c | 699.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 63c | 698.41$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.41 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 20c | 658.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 65c | 617.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…af5dbacked Yes | 58c | 612.22$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.42 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…b34bbacked Yes | 64c | 599.99$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 24c | 590$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3b…ecf0backed Yes | 80c | 539.11$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 41c | 487.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.46 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 36c | 484$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.24 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 27c | 470.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.95 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked No | 37c | 460$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…8f49backed Yes | 43c | 445.67$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 34c | 441$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 39c | 439.21$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed No | 37c | 434.49$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.76 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…f41fbacked Yes | 69c | 418.01$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked No | 38c | 392.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes | 56c | 386.12$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb0…2ccebacked Yes | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 34c | 361.6$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.14 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 27c | 345$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 37c | 327.03$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-02?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?No won
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-03-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.