Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-03-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b67fe19c55f0a54fa3bd57c5207a32657f93e86b348aa0a60ee37ba6925f9af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1deb…472fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 2c | 14,081$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.89 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa03…c9ffbacked Yes | 1c | 11,284$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 13c | 8,217$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.83 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 6,957$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.24 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Yes | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,896$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 14c | 1,823$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.62 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,669$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.77 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,256$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,223$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 14c | 1,101$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.11 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 14c | 763.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +70%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…70cdbacked Yes | 17c | 640.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Yes | 13c | 606.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 604.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 8c | 600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 15c | 513.45$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 15c | 334.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 14c | 327.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 15c | 319.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 18c | 279.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…3d18backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 14c | 249.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 14c | 248.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 14c | 187.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…a690backed Yes | 8c | 183.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 14c | 158.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 14c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 149.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 14c | 146.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…9b3bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa5…1b2dbacked Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…4034backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…8f98backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 14c | 87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 19c | 66.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-03-02?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?No won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.