Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe435eeee7b42b7cff48dcd09b710ac3c44e82b7dc76161ec5084017e33e342a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 3,323$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.83 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 23c | 772$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.56 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +70%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 13c | 742.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 10c | 564.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 23c | 427.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…3d18backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 23c | 324.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 56c | 317.24$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.58 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 10c | 301.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 250.19$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…30d8backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 210.4$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Yes | 47c | 207.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7f…a00dbacked Yes | 23c | 204.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 23c | 182.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 180.67$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…a690backed Yes | 21c | 163$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 9c | 144.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 121.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Yes | 30c | 105.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…4034backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 40c | 95.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 88.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f59…f50ebacked Yes | 23c | 78.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba3…c7f1backed Yes | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 24c | 66.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 23c | 61.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db4…f62abacked No | 78c | 60.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1723…9d18backed Yes | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 78c | 56.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…ca17backed Yes | 42c | 47.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 44c | 45.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…cb3dbacked No | 78c | 15.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-03-02?No won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.