TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,620,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,760,196

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,620,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 614 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac44…fbd7backed No62c3,291,949$2,041,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041,917.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c785,659$317,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468,570.44,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes37c600,007$221,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379,004.413946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes37c304,136$112,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191,639.118940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes47c232,937$110,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,867.9190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Yes36c229,963$82,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147,176.242161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2379…bf16backed Yes39c221,381$87,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134,299.291662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+38.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes39c196,736$76,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120,597.5520449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes41c155,921$64,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,740.251,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes39c130,259$50,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,596.152,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed No60c114,000$68,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,851.61625%4 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes44c100,172$44,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,006.922634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No60c100,000$59,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,499.9835442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes37c58,783$21,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,033.0315034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes38c44,042$16,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,183.959748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes44c39,600$17,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,313.39640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes39c32,417$12,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,780.515939%23 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Yes42c31,761$13,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,271.571241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes69c28,074$19,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,836.031,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…bb58backed Yes45c26,930$11,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,941.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes38c24,000$9,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,9601625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes39c21,083$8,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,796.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes39c20,952$8,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,719.7150949.5%252 W · 257 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes39c19,847$7,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,095.515650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes41c19,281$7,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,453.231,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac7a…29c8backed No55c17,071$9,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,417.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed Yes38c16,200$6,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,094862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c12,782$5,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,188.1550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Yes37c12,022$4,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,573.58683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+64.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3934…8352backed Yes40c11,746$4,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,047.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a5…87b4backed No0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No55c11,000$6,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,079.9416740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa394…89e9backed No62c10,779$6,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,682.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Yes39c10,616$4,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,451.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes41c10,462$4,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,166.213946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Yes41c9,886$4,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,808.772657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes41c9,469$3,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,572.7629545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes40c9,091$3,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,484.847132.4%23 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes37c8,919$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,618.925149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No58c8,651$4,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.499840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Yes70c8,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001625%4 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-64.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes38c7,000$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,34030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes41c7,000$2,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,13013046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Yes40c6,866$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,150.873060%18 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes40c6,240$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,760.3564046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes50c5,858$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,904.353,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Yes37c5,760$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,628.82948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1008041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No63c4,960$3,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,124.796346%29 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x498c…c0c0backed Yes45c4,794$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,636.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0b…57d5backed Yes44c4,539$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,541.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+169.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes13c4,363$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,795.542161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+75.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes39c4,003$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.8323250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed No56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.983452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes38c3,981$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.7630749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes69c3,519$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.223148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No56c3,500$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9605742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes38c3,402$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.853943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaa8…242dbacked Yes44c3,292$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x646e…3b1dbacked Yes44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6801100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7407353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes15c3,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5501855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+137.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8604344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes68c2,826$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.092650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes36c2,802$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.078075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes38c2,777$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.5119255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes45c2,552$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.6326550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed Yes42c2,541$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.782441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes39c2,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5258457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes27c2,482$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.9940033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes40c2,283$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.85440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes45c2,211$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.841952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Yes43c2,208$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.041346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes40c2,207$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.4679133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes40c2,200$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.3642851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes69c2,041$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.5584939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1202552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes76c1,973$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.3661032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes37c1,912$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.313345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked Yes35c1,844$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.671258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No58c1,673$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.2769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes37c1,649$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.648334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked No63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.36per pick54cpaid-72.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes41c1,576$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.4183650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Yes38c1,559$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.72369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes68c1,502$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.7415150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes35c1,500$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9704742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes37c1,485$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.1827850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No56c1,474$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.2732645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes40c1,451$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.0415246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e1…4cc0backed Yes70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.57650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Yes41c1,423$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.735759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes38c1,422$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.3241147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Yes36c1,400$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8962343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9648…75cbbacked Yes44c1,365$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc35b…6eb2backed Yes37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.35875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.