TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$249,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,540

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,445 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes42c27,923$11,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,751.241428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-50.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes11c20,977$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338.7450249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No67c19,875$13,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,558.732948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No69c13,710$9,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,250.186357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No67c9,220$6,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,042.652951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes32c9,091$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.397132.4%23 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c6,917$4,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.531,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No69c5,943$4,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.335242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes31c5,060$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.592,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes33c5,006$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.366346%29 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d75…6972backed Yes31c4,544$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked No67c4,179$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.13946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes31c4,098$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.4932545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No63c4,017$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.383,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes31c3,759$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No69c3,437$2,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.371566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed No67c3,409$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.943060%18 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa220…1aefbacked Yes31c3,288$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No68c3,060$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.082842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No67c2,500$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8258457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No69c2,500$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7755754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No49c2,328$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.0869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes31c2,310$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.364046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6206240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.993452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes33c1,866$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.944,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c1,820$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.31,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No67c1,431$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.2335148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes20c1,229$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4840033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb92f…566bbacked Yes36c1,100$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.591040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes10c1,035$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.15453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3105563.6%35 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No68c973.01$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.5711751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes19c901.32$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.858045%36 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes12c847$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.028229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes33c807$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.3120449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes34c764.72$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No67c700$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2315032%16 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No68c675$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21689050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26021322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15514427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No69c455.96$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.3520642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked No67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.761258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Yes18c444.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11221641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1281,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No69c367.84$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0323947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes28c363.04$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.653221.9%7 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+79.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes32c346.88$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11115446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes22c341$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.715246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Yes31c338.71$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes36c278.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x415c…9c6dbacked Yes23c228.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No80c224.77$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6535145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes21c213$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2112944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked No68c210.46$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.322969%20 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes47c210.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.64353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes19c207$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.211947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6242458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes30c200$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc18…6847backed No70c188$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ac…ae94backed Yes56c178$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes31c164$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2679133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a6c…b36abacked No70c146$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.83100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0c…ad21backed Yes34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No74c137.29$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.594837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Yes28c135.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d06…3b3ebacked Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd457…9d8abacked No70c135$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182c…3babbacked No70c134$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…017cbacked No70c134$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b51…8d2fbacked No70c128$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed No47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.662250%11 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7740…cd28backed No70c127$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f6…3149backed Yes20c126.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b1…39dabacked No70c125$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes31c123.87$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.483650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e1…2808backed No70c122$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x531a…8681backed Yes38c117.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.522634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…79c2backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca6…3b5bbacked No70c117$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac96…403abacked No70c117$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7f…2015backed No69c115$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.95366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1400…9f95backed No70c110$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e79…ed46backed No70c103$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3162744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…238abacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d4…e673backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2815832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.