TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,623,098
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,837,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,623,098 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ef9…f171backed Yes29c882,525$258,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258,611.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c208,139$145,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,973.244,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c95,880$67,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,082.372,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No70c85,000$59,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,5002339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c79,019$55,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,503.381,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No70c57,126$39,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,137.712755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No72c48,732$35,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,642.3620449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccb2…8586backed No41c43,811$17,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,848.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No70c40,000$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0003366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No71c27,065$19,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,850.9350249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes61c25,861$15,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,752.71428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-50.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes69c25,478$17,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,580.1312553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes1c24,678$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.77424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed No74c21,167$15,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,603.483060%18 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No70c20,842$14,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,252.62445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No63c18,115$11,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,774.7190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No71c17,894$12,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,223.755950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No70c16,515$11,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,874.576839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No71c16,485$11,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780.655337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No71c14,000$9,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1301637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No71c13,288$9,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,853.527455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No71c13,274$9,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.412842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No71c13,097$9,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,805.482951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed Yes63c11,177$7,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,031.61966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+105.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Yes26c10,046$2,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.421241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffc…4487backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes27c9,091$2,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,454.547132.4%23 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c8,524$6,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.331,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No71c8,500$6,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,46510539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked No71c8,282$5,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.691250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No71c8,016$5,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.6964046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae95…6f5abacked Yes25c7,995$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No70c7,800$5,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3401758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes27c7,407$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.36per pick54cpaid-72.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No70c7,329$5,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.578334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e6…4bfebacked Yes30c7,199$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No42c6,500$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,77015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c6,085$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,745.383,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No73c6,000$4,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62013046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No51c5,601$2,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.491,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes56c5,260$2,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,945.7969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes30c4,850$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4556346%29 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes24c4,561$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.6316740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d75…6972backed Yes25c4,544$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ab3…12b2backed Yes25c4,455$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf403…e176backed No76c4,455$3,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6286…5307backed No76c3,960$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x632a…ac85backed Yes25c3,960$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No50c3,574$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.1160732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa220…1aefbacked Yes25c3,288$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8107353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No31c2,967$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.3483640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.2428055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No72c2,526$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.287653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No72c2,500$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7008457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes26c2,283$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.485440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f85…bd8cbacked No75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+222.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes71c1,740$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.914748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No74c1,600$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4094564.4%29 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bfb…d828backed Yes3c1,559$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No72c1,539$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.3119255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No72c1,507$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.9542851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No72c1,300$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.3811751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No72c1,172$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.165939%23 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8da…41a6backed Yes28c1,023$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.4220159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No31c941$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.2940033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No31c878$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.333148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No70c849.82$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.5530749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No73c825$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.7535148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No73c800$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21622552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Yes63c793$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.594153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Yes62c700.82$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.372653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No73c699.99$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1929656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked No71c697.72$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.314548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed No74c688$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.884663%29 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked No40c654.76$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.761827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed No41c621$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.912231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed No78c609$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.189262%57 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes70c604.87$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.115150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No55c589.49$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.164837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Yes70c584.39$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.221471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+76.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No43c514.35$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.354235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14510046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed No68c455.5$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.55759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked No70c425.14$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1727850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes25c420.91$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.234126.8%11 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes24c416.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c67…910abacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006946.4%32 W · 37 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked No62c363.23$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.192969%20 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Yes19c348.32$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.183641.7%15 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick18cpaid+156.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Yes34c327.44$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Yes17c319.16$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.