TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof FURIA Esports, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$234,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,986 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 345 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1333…e463backed FURIA Esports54c10,323$5,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,591.08825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-61.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked FURIA Esports31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10026738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8247…ee42backed Paper Rex73c8,043$5,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.62352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed FURIA Esports38c7,409$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.151625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Paper Rex69c7,255$5,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.265651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Paper Rex69c7,029$4,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,190.611643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FURIA Esports22c6,654$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.9946326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked FURIA Esports59c5,514$3,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,237.751163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA Esports28c5,142$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.7334847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Paper Rex77c5,115$3,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.7419248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Paper Rex71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.9978162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Paper Rex75c4,330$3,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.917640.8%31 W · 45 L-14.7wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-38.6%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FURIA Esports28c3,804$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.5281134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed FURIA Esports29c3,777$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.2740%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Paper Rex74c3,758$2,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.1326050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Paper Rex49c3,374$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.388751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed FURIA Esports30c3,369$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.3439042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Paper Rex72c3,207$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.1227546.2%127 W · 148 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed FURIA Esports33c3,204$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.884637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked FURIA Esports32c3,131$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.426336.5%23 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked FURIA Esports27c3,072$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.522245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…a879backed FURIA Esports27c2,988$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed FURIA Esports19c2,317$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.23520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-63.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfedd…be0cbacked FURIA Esports28c2,133$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa0…b8a3backed Paper Rex71c2,113$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports38c2,076$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.1268458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Paper Rex72c2,021$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.855048%24 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed FURIA Esports29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Paper Rex69c1,905$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.429644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed FURIA Esports29c1,900$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55128548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Paper Rex52c1,751$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.0826634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed FURIA Esports32c1,672$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.419648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked FURIA Esports24c1,631$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39836138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed FURIA Esports27c1,600$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.0312138.8%47 W · 74 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed FURIA Esports31c1,575$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.553930.8%12 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked FURIA Esports45c1,573$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.136747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Paper Rex62c1,378$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.7588844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed FURIA Esports29c1,345$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.951225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Paper Rex73c1,190$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.3465559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked FURIA Esports46c1,065$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.513060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed FURIA Esports38c1,058$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.633759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FURIA Esports30c1,045$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.281,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed Paper Rex73c1,016$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.161957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Paper Rex66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34086747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed FURIA Esports28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed FURIA Esports27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27024946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked Paper Rex58c980.87$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.54535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked FURIA Esports23c957.79$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2183148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc040…78f6backed Paper Rex74c944.47$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.56988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+57.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Paper Rex56c886.79$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.116038.3%23 W · 37 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed FURIA Esports30c836.67$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515125.5%13 W · 38 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-37.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed FURIA Esports20c832.47$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.777929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA Esports27c809.52$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5712835.9%46 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed FURIA Esports35c804.99$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+90.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FURIA Esports23c760.87$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17525336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc5…b698backed Paper Rex61c715.7$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.75050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Paper Rex72c710$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.83145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Paper Rex71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.232147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Paper Rex60c666.68$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.7970251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked FURIA Esports29c593.19$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.027236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Paper Rex62c585.01$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.36852.9%36 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b04…cf8bbacked FURIA Esports31c578.96$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.681936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Paper Rex52c571.15$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.1528247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddfa…68b0backed Paper Rex68c555.03$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.031050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Paper Rex71c548.59$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.096762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bfc…f43dbacked Paper Rex66c548.45$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.232250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed FURIA Esports29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5add…f36fbacked FURIA Esports40c504.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed FURIA Esports30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025347%119 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed FURIA Esports29c499.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14528541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed FURIA Esports61c499.95$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9462156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f74…4fccbacked FURIA Esports28c478.97$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed FURIA Esports41c451.69$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18434253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Paper Rex53c450.96$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.046418.8%12 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7264…af67backed Paper Rex74c448.36$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Paper Rex70c429.97$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.992638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf82c…0f6fbacked FURIA Esports29c427.31$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.921250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4c…58cebacked Paper Rex78c426.04$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.041866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed Paper Rex72c420.83$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.833050%15 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Paper Rex72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d43…3f6cbacked FURIA Esports63c404$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.229965.7%65 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed FURIA Esports33c400$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.189651%49 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e6…5cb1backed Paper Rex42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2321154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9734…bfd8backed Paper Rex74c384.09$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8619257.8%111 W · 81 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed FURIA Esports26c372$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.284528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-33.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed Paper Rex73c365.38$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.65966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Paper Rex71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1124457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Paper Rex72c341.92$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.476339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7215…7cb0backed Paper Rex43c337.05$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.054774.5%35 W · 12 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed Paper Rex45c333.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.74520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ac…ae05backed Paper Rex29c327.59$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb9…cb5dbacked Paper Rex37c320$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.615145%68 W · 83 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Paper Rex67c319.69$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0563…340dbacked Paper Rex71c311.83$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.432060%12 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed FURIA Esports29c306$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5315942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked FURIA Esports36c302.07$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5736648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Paper Rex66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026852.9%36 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed Paper Rex74c292.43$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.221866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca3…13dbbacked FURIA Esports13c292.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed FURIA Esports27c289.42$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.14650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.