TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof FURIA Esports, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,462 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Paper Rex72c26,014$18,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,324.7319248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked FURIA Esports27c21,012$5,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,698.032729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Paper Rex59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.9716639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed FURIA Esports1c1,900$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9510217.6%18 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed FURIA Esports33c1,520$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.894637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed FURIA Esports41c1,345$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5571346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed FURIA Esports27c1,214$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.7719648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Paper Rex61c1,154$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2224946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed FURIA Esports39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39039042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked FURIA Esports40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed FURIA Esports11c942.01$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10310956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked FURIA Esports12c845.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed Paper Rex76c597.27$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.71866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FURIA Esports34c582.91$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6281134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Paper Rex62c545.35$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.377640.8%31 W · 45 L-14.7wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-38.6%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Paper Rex64c452.72$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3253355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c57…bf46backed FURIA Esports41c358.54$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1473834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5ff…f6c9backed FURIA Esports7c336.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9450%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Paper Rex56c324.04$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0428247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…4bc4backed FURIA Esports31c316.81$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed FURIA Esports39c305.54$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.164060%24 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Paper Rex73c301.55$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9170251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Paper Rex65c277.89$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.167635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked Paper Rex61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.98343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x429f…7f2dbacked FURIA Esports14c244.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Paper Rex65c243.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.42339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed FURIA Esports41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Paper Rex70c241$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.291,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfad2…77fbbacked FURIA Esports38c240$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.81145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddfa…68b0backed FURIA Esports44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed FURIA Esports35c201.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.46346%29 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Paper Rex60c193$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.253442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed FURIA Esports31c190.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6831634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecae…e54abacked FURIA Esports36c183.49$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Paper Rex61c179.73$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.35455.6%30 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked FURIA Esports40c170.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6921240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked FURIA Esports41c170.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7051948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Paper Rex60c169.24$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7365559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked FURIA Esports31c168$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.379042.2%38 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f7f…37abbacked FURIA Esports31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked FURIA Esports39c160$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.654439.9%217 W · 327 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked FURIA Esports34c149.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…0d12backed Paper Rex57c149$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x890a…1da7backed FURIA Esports43c149$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked FURIA Esports33c147$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0810840.7%44 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FURIA Esports40c145$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.371,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed FURIA Esports36c140.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked FURIA Esports31c135$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.968837.5%33 W · 55 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0128…d18abacked FURIA Esports40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29e5…3c3fbacked Paper Rex74c123.92$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…fec8backed FURIA Esports43c119.28$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.652857.1%16 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a43…3aebbacked Paper Rex74c112.36$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.243100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FURIA Esports42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9844…5700backed FURIA Esports26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Paper Rex61c99.07$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0742840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Paper Rex68c95.31$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6510661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Paper Rex61c95.23$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.14650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbd…7d08backed FURIA Esports39c95.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.093948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked FURIA Esports32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex77c92.39$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.551,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Paper Rex74c82.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.32564%16 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed FURIA Esports31c82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.654632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed FURIA Esports43c81.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9110758.9%63 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed FURIA Esports37c76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.284932.7%16 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Paper Rex65c75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c20…3e11backed Paper Rex57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.182045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed FURIA Esports31c62.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4257517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed FURIA Esports44c61.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2728151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe89…c2b1backed FURIA Esports27c60.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Paper Rex78c56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.69062.2%56 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x842e…9173backed FURIA Esports39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012556.8%71 W · 54 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d90…08abbacked FURIA Esports41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Paper Rex55c47.31$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.294456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed FURIA Esports45c46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.769722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed FURIA Esports35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523732.9%78 W · 159 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed FURIA Esports38c41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.758835.2%31 W · 57 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb6b…cf8abacked Paper Rex69c39.26$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bcb…de7bbacked FURIA Esports32c37.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x199b…354ebacked Paper Rex55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.365639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb794…0aa5backed FURIA Esports40c33.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.432638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Paper Rex60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.337762.3%48 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Paper Rex69c32.75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2514652.1%76 W · 70 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked FURIA Esports32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed FURIA Esports43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.98751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a94…e3e5backed FURIA Esports40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Paper Rex61c18.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.493148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.