TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb6b…cf8a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+54.6%+$11.48
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+29.2%+$4.09
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.34
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Galorys (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+49.7%+$5.46
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+40.2%+$10.04
Counter-Strike: WHITEBIRD vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+28.9%+$5.78
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+32.1%+$8.02
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+32.2%+$5.47
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+41.3%+$9.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$27.52
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.34
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$6.53
Senators vs. Krakenbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$5.55
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+55.4%+$10.52
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+45.5%+$10.46
Predators vs. Starsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northeastern Huskies vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+30.6%+$4.56
Baylor Bears vs. UCF Knightsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+34.7%+$5.52
CSUN Matadors vs. UC Riverside Highlandersbacked UC Riverside Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+43.8%+$6.78
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+48.7%+$11.11
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed 1. FC Köln · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.2%+$14.26
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+27.4%+$6.85
Will Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.7%+$92.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Bullsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.36
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+32.4%+$11.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+45.4%+$12.26
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Merida Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zhangbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.5%+$7.84
Open Sud de France: Moise Kouame vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$146.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+178.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+178.7%+$232.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+130.1%+$16.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+28.4%+$5.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+26.8%+$3.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$103.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)backed Pisa SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.