NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf2aeb1ad4919ce6918f13e6ea33565b026975a2484ce9c69e43e7025cd52382
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $386,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,978 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Senators | 60c | 100,000$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000.3 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kraken | 40c | 64,724$25,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,889.75 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Senators | 59c | 54,828$32,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,479.61 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kraken | 41c | 34,536$14,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,071.48 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Senators | 59c | 31,929$18,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,090.88 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 76c | 24,144$18,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,783.33 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kraken | 41c | 23,319$9,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,617.19 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Kraken | 24c | 20,585$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,940.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Kraken | 40c | 18,888$7,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,555.2 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kraken | 40c | 16,839$6,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,735.7 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Senators | 60c | 14,017$8,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,606.66 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Kraken | 41c | 12,150$4,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,981.21 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Kraken | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Kraken | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators | 53c | 5,572$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.04 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Kraken | 43c | 5,307$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.8 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked Kraken | 40c | 4,762$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.58 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Kraken | 9c | 4,189$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.58 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kraken | 41c | 4,146$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Kraken | 20c | 4,112$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.88 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Senators | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.15 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Senators | 65c | 3,987$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.9 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Kraken | 23c | 3,611$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.53 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Kraken | 40c | 3,524$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.71 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Senators | 58c | 3,459$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.88 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Kraken | 41c | 3,358$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.75 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Kraken | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Senators | 68c | 2,952$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.84 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kraken | 20c | 2,821$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.51 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Senators | 63c | 2,607$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.5 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kraken | 1c | 2,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Kraken | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Kraken | 41c | 2,440$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Senators | 56c | 2,355$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.37 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Senators | 60c | 2,343$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.47 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e295backed Kraken | 9c | 2,203$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Kraken | 40c | 2,111$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.5 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Senators | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Senators | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.29 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Kraken | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kraken | 40c | 1,859$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.39 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…fd64backed Kraken | 46c | 1,826$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Kraken | 36c | 1,719$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.85 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…b735backed Senators | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Senators | 59c | 1,691$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.78 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Senators | 53c | 1,570$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.89 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Senators | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Kraken | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kraken | 37c | 1,399$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.51 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kraken | 41c | 1,380$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.36 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…416ebacked Senators | 60c | 1,350$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…c287backed Kraken | 39c | 1,350$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Senators | 68c | 1,212$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.14 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Kraken | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.7 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…e373backed Senators | 60c | 1,148$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.49 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…0906backed Kraken | 40c | 1,130$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…1eb5backed Senators | 60c | 1,110$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kraken | 15c | 1,092$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kraken | 36c | 1,084$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.34 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…4390backed Kraken | 41c | 1,070$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Senators | 60c | 1,060$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.14 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa0…6b04backed Senators | 60c | 1,050$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Kraken | 35c | 1,049$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kraken | 6c | 1,046$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe949…33bebacked Kraken | 46c | 1,037$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…362dbacked Senators | 60c | 1,020$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc971…9813backed Senators | 60c | 1,020$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Kraken | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…2748backed Kraken | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd5…30c8backed Kraken | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Kraken | 46c | 987.49$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.25 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Senators | 77c | 949.37$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Kraken | 43c | 930$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kraken | 40c | 900.5$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.73 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kraken | 41c | 858.81$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.11 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88eb…9394backed Kraken | 22c | 851.76$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Kraken | 47c | 828.19$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.25 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…0944backed Kraken | 47c | 824.45$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.49 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Kraken | 47c | 820.79$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.77 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Kraken | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Senators | 53c | 723.79$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.18 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Kraken | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Senators | 71c | 694.62$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.44 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Kraken | 26c | 670.49$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.33 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Kraken | 41c | 610.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Senators | 66c | 600$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.95 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Senators | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Senators | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.3 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kraken | 40c | 598.14$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.67 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Kraken | 13c | 593.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kraken | 40c | 558.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kraken | 45c | 552$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken | 30c | 545.58$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.42 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…afd0backed Kraken | 28c | 528$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Kraken | 41c | 516.46$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 72c | 506$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3577…0e8cbacked Senators | 60c | 500.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Kraken | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Kraken | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.9 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Kraken | 43c | 499.94$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.98 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Krakenthis page
- Senators vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senators vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Senators vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Over won
- Senators vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.