TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Predators vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Predators, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,140,905
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,232,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,140,905 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 525 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Predators43c412,605$177,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177,416.2119848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Stars57c232,558$132,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,999.944050%20 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Stars57c160,707$91,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,104.1856152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Predators43c130,000$55,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,599.9848545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Predators43c122,529$52,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,097.081,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Predators67c116,450$78,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,444.811,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Stars57c115,180$66,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,034.5422443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Stars55c66,721$37,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,720.6824349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Stars69c33,478$23,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,286.9638748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Stars58c24,098$13,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,116.2161950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Stars56c18,009$10,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,923.87683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+72.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Predators44c17,934$7,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,890.7544848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Predators68c16,250$11,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0504365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Stars57c15,461$8,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,648.281,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Stars58c15,437$9,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,425.241,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Predators42c15,320$6,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,431.6248549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Predators69c14,300$9,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8677162%44 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Predators49c11,821$5,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,826.2889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Predators62c11,482$7,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,146.532,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Stars59c10,212$6,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,186.9343456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Predators0c10,090$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.173342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Stars58c10,073$5,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,230.7150049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.991,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Predators41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.953661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Predators68c9,360$6,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,386.076657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed Stars58c8,564$4,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,591.23348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stars52c8,361$4,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,034.41,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Predators40c7,430$3,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,002.391,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Stars57c7,375$4,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,171.2526058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Predators49c6,135$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.6612835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Predators64c6,098$3,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,873.133,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Predators41c6,070$2,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.733243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Stars57c5,967$3,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.331,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Stars41c5,422$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,172.4221555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Stars37c5,333$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,369.7839344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars57c5,280$3,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.871,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Stars59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0502147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Predators41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.951,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stars43c4,711$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,688.792,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed Predators45c4,645$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.243046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Stars59c4,274$2,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.6831851.9%165 W · 153 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Stars51c4,136$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,043.9875251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Predators41c4,113$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.3361953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Predators45c4,100$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.7285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Stars58c4,022$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.4185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Stars57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Stars57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Predators41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.9929146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked Stars36c3,999$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.663650%18 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Predators45c3,846$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.7758467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Predators43c3,488$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Stars58c3,265$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.1564242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Predators63c3,226$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.7589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Predators45c3,200$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf958…5a02backed Stars24c3,181$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,417.451450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Predators1c3,100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick4cpaid+2,303.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Predators45c2,776$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.236748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3568…c765backed Predators69c2,664$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.71758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Predators54c2,632$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.4830944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Stars59c2,600$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07260337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Predators68c2,500$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7004957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Stars57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07527048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Predators75c2,408$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.51,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Stars57c2,397$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.7184953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Predators43c2,331$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9940356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Stars26c2,296$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.1535829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Predators42c2,252$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.1479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Stars42c2,176$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.2127739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Predators41c2,161$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.5283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars58c2,111$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.6286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Stars58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Stars29c1,969$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.4214837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Stars58c1,718$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.2586549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Stars59c1,700$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69722946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Predators4c1,700$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6880%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Stars58c1,698$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.285855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Predators75c1,696$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.7662951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Stars58c1,660$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.244551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Stars41c1,641$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.4834538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb40c…b1dbbacked Predators70c1,569$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.14580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Stars58c1,530$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.9624749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Stars50c1,529$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.2651949.5%257 W · 262 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Stars56c1,449$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.6211543.5%50 W · 65 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Stars59c1,443$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.9221755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Predators45c1,393$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.811,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Stars56c1,285$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.2358841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Predators68c1,235$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.85959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Predators41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.1942847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Stars25c1,200$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9003562.9%22 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Stars55c1,190$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.53354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce50…b747backed Predators43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008756.3%49 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Predators42c1,139$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.7721849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Predators4c1,111$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.442174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Predators41c1,042$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.1660249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Predators46c1,000$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.2382043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Predators45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45057157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Predators42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08cf…4b40backed Predators1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Stars58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4209157.1%52 W · 39 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Predators44c905.3$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40039751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.