NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cc2d2d01ef05f8f41a329c8d98c6eeaf7b3ced1c6cd7a0aaf2f2e8b2f248ec9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Stars, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Stars | 37c | 3,875$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.97 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Predators | 63c | 2,080$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.1 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Predators | 63c | 1,862$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.01 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Predators | 63c | 1,235$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.08 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Stars | 37c | 629$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.73 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Predators | 72c | 333$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Stars | 37c | 326$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.62 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Stars | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a1…b711backed Stars | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Stars | 23c | 169.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Stars | 37c | 163$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stars | 37c | 154$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Predators | 74c | 127.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Predators | 72c | 109.24$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Predators | 63c | 100.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…2bb0backed Stars | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Stars | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Predators | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Stars | 30c | 71.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Stars | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Predators | 75c | 56.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Stars | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Predators | 61c | 51.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Predators | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Predators | 60c | 23.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…05b5backed Predators | 63c | 18.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Predators | 64c | 17.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6417…e608backed Predators | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. StarsStars won
- Predators vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Under won
- Predators vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.