NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Stars: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecea9f8bfdf2ba6916160e5ca9c1607c067bb8672c6871dd41dc30bf9621c427
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 44c | 5,310$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.6 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 56c | 2,474$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.71 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 56c | 2,422$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.55 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 441.02$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 323.02$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.67 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 56c | 270.34$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.6 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 41c | 245$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 59c | 245$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…2bb0backed Over | 55c | 145$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 134.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 57c | 120.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 44c | 98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 39c | 87.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf239…e1d2backed Under | 65c | 77.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 63c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 66.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 41c | 57.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…2784backed Under | 44c | 43.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 42c | 27.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 58c | 23.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…05b5backed Under | 42c | 23.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Stars: O/U 5.5this page
- Predators vs. StarsStars won
- Predators vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.