Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Baylor Bears vs. UCF Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec1bb655e5e573f8e97e855eb09e93f50ee92d31583a5336f59d9414b601d779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baylor Bearsof Baylor Bears, UCF Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked UCF Knights | 40c | 19,140$7,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,578.89 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UCF Knights | 24c | 15,322$3,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.94 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Baylor Bears | 68c | 12,709$8,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,035.08 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Baylor Bears | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Baylor Bears | 66c | 8,993$5,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.01 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed UCF Knights | 42c | 8,068$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,373.53 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed UCF Knights | 52c | 3,836$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.82 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Baylor Bears | 62c | 3,358$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.41 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed UCF Knights | 1c | 3,040$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Baylor Bears | 67c | 2,809$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.08 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed UCF Knights | 52c | 2,682$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.47 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 2,569$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.77 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baylor Bears | 45c | 2,303$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.18 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked UCF Knights | 36c | 2,272$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.09 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UCF Knights | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.66 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed UCF Knights | 47c | 2,100$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 44cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Baylor Bears | 45c | 2,033$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.01 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UCF Knights | 27c | 1,821$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.43 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baylor Bears | 74c | 1,567$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.67 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Baylor Bears | 67c | 1,461$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.38 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Baylor Bears | 63c | 1,447$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.3 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Baylor Bears | 67c | 1,396$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.25 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UCF Knights | 53c | 1,395$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.43 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Baylor Bears | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UCF Knights | 53c | 899.11$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.88 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UCF Knights | 51c | 710.82$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed UCF Knights | 13c | 677.21$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked UCF Knights | 29c | 585.72$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.51 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed UCF Knights | 40c | 492$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baylor Bears | 76c | 467.26$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.47 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Baylor Bears | 48c | 460.92$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.87 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…81cabacked Baylor Bears | 69c | 439.54$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Baylor Bears | 47c | 431.21$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.54 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Baylor Bears | 46c | 428.33$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.07 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed UCF Knights | 46c | 403.63$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.22 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…8fc5backed UCF Knights | 22c | 381.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Baylor Bears | 55c | 380$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UCF Knights | 48c | 355.54$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.12 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Baylor Bears | 64c | 332.3$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked UCF Knights | 55c | 319.61$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.47 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Baylor Bears | 45c | 297.4$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.57 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed UCF Knights | 52c | 295.45$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8b9ebacked UCF Knights | 54c | 295.32$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.47 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463f…351cbacked Baylor Bears | 46c | 260.52$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed UCF Knights | 26c | 250.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Baylor Bears | 43c | 231.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Baylor Bears | 45c | 220.54$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.41 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5b…d645backed Baylor Bears | 68c | 219.61$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked UCF Knights | 32c | 213.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked UCF Knights | 53c | 203.07$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed UCF Knights | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed UCF Knights | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed UCF Knights | 22c | 199.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Baylor Bears | 61c | 199.41$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…b34bbacked UCF Knights | 36c | 196.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Baylor Bears | 59c | 189.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed UCF Knights | 57c | 174.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Baylor Bears | 76c | 156.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked UCF Knights | 31c | 148.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Baylor Bears | 66c | 148.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Baylor Bears | 42c | 147.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb89…ec39backed Baylor Bears | 48c | 144.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…70a9backed UCF Knights | 54c | 140.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked UCF Knights | 56c | 135.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff75…b615backed UCF Knights | 55c | 134.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Baylor Bears | 61c | 130.02$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7f…85c3backed UCF Knights | 55c | 126.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Baylor Bears | 44c | 112.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Baylor Bears | 69c | 112.34$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…857abacked Baylor Bears | 55c | 108.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb151…7cd8backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 107.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Baylor Bears | 43c | 105.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked UCF Knights | 35c | 102.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baylor Bears | 66c | 102.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Baylor Bears | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed UCF Knights | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UCF Knights | 15c | 99.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…fad9backed UCF Knights | 30c | 99.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…59fcbacked Baylor Bears | 69c | 99.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Baylor Bears | 44c | 92.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked UCF Knights | 55c | 90.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed UCF Knights | 33c | 87.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 82.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed UCF Knights | 39c | 73.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed UCF Knights | 33c | 72.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8debbacked UCF Knights | 54c | 71.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked UCF Knights | 17c | 68.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baylor Bears | 54c | 60.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed UCF Knights | 48c | 56.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…4e04backed Baylor Bears | 71c | 55.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Baylor Bears | 79c | 52.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Baylor Bears | 59c | 52.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 83 | 72.3%60 W · 23 L | +14.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Baylor Bears | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Baylor Bears | 44c | 49.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UCF Knights | 59c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Baylor Bears | 46c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed UCF Knights | 40c | 47.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baylor Bears | 44c | 45.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…fb0dbacked UCF Knights | 56c | 44.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.43per pick | 56cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baylor Bears vs. UCF Knightsthis page
- Baylor Bears vs. UCF Knights: O/U 158.5Over won
- Baylor Bears vs. UCF Knights: O/U 159.5Over won
- Spread: UCF Knights (-1.5)Baylor Bears won
- Spread: UCF Knights (-2.5)Baylor Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.