TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
EDward Gamingof EDward Gaming, Team WE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,186,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,258,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,186,682 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 655 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team WE43c572,341$246,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246,029.9555955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed EDward Gaming57c382,634$218,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164,532.484566.7%30 W · 15 L+9.9wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+56.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked EDward Gaming57c200,665$114,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,285.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Team WE43c104,284$44,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,841.9811750.4%59 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed EDward Gaming57c50,000$28,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,5001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked EDward Gaming56c40,040$22,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,548.716141%25 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2053…9520backed Team WE44c36,364$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,999.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+98.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Team WE0c34,873$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.936939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe7d…c269backed Team WE44c32,823$14,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,441.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+108.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8292…f774backed Team WE21c21,930$4,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,661.5316238.9%63 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb1a…1619backed EDward Gaming56c20,074$11,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,832.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+174.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Team WE21c20,000$4,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e93…3d70backed EDward Gaming56c19,135$10,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,415.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4271…e1d1backed EDward Gaming56c17,912$10,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,881.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+83%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Team WE12c17,331$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.543775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed EDward Gaming79c15,000$11,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.9854353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4900…301fbacked EDward Gaming56c14,451$8,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,358.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed EDward Gaming58c13,675$7,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,712.141,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab3…12b2backed EDward Gaming57c11,881$6,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,108.911070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf403…e176backed Team WE44c11,881$5,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,227.721020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-69.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Team WE43c11,111$4,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,777.7341752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f6…8160backed EDward Gaming79c10,881$8,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.761346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Team WE27c9,762$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,651.351,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbca…3b1ebacked EDward Gaming57c9,000$5,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,87010535.2%37 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed EDward Gaming64c8,844$5,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,214.7625446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Team WE39c8,000$3,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,118.4116454.9%90 W · 74 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Team WE30c7,383$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1938648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Team WE43c6,500$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.9949940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Team WE20c6,402$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.329333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed EDward Gaming55c6,386$3,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,873.6814753.7%79 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed EDward Gaming59c5,939$3,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,446.2739749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc150…e85fbacked Team WE46c5,779$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,658.191566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Team WE30c5,767$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.7831644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked Team WE44c5,706$2,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,510.5211838.1%45 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Team WE44c5,575$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45311150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed EDward Gaming57c5,184$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.063759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Team WE21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05017839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked EDward Gaming80c4,520$3,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90413040.8%53 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Team WE44c3,855$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,69621939.3%86 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd514…139fbacked Team WE44c3,700$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed EDward Gaming80c3,610$2,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72223439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed EDward Gaming55c3,550$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.542050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked EDward Gaming70c3,392$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.1370162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked EDward Gaming66c3,343$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.16862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick63cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Team WE0c3,128$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.426297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked EDward Gaming57c2,980$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.3237245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team WE20c2,828$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.5878050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Team WE44c2,631$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.626139.3%24 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Team WE20c2,567$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.0838624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Team WE43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07514650%73 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked EDward Gaming75c2,488$1,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.141,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6658…8afdbacked EDward Gaming57c2,400$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.991936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Team WE43c2,400$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.9817537.1%65 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed EDward Gaming59c2,392$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.569348.4%45 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Team WE44c2,274$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.436041.7%25 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Team WE44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013846.4%64 W · 74 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Team WE37c2,262$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.5121536.7%79 W · 136 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4429…efc2backed EDward Gaming75c2,071$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.116743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed EDward Gaming58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84067931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Team WE1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043539.5%172 W · 263 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Team WE37c2,000$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.5746033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed EDward Gaming56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.951,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a3…e71dbacked EDward Gaming60c1,996$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6286…5307backed Team WE44c1,980$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.291127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x632a…ac85backed EDward Gaming57c1,980$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.491070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+54.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed EDward Gaming80c1,955$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.073966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Team WE43c1,860$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008047.5%38 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed EDward Gaming56c1,781$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.5713344.4%59 W · 74 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked EDward Gaming57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3959558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team WE25c1,741$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.6385046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5b…6e14backed Team WE26c1,720$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Team WE43c1,700$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked EDward Gaming55c1,622$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.0951852.7%273 W · 245 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Team WE31c1,619$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011060%66 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Team WE21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31513136.6%48 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team WE19c1,433$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.771,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee9d…85f1backed Team WE22c1,305$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.1113056.9%74 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29df…8ebcbacked Team WE43c1,281$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.8310133.7%34 W · 67 L-11.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe23a…8518backed Team WE44c1,218$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.56955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Team WE44c1,200$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52639152.2%204 W · 187 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Team WE41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49214038.6%54 W · 86 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Team WE18c1,199$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.72152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2d…e572backed Team WE2c1,183$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.743036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5709…de0abacked Team WE22c1,150$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2481241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Team WE44c1,150$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.9710541.9%44 W · 61 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1a…365fbacked EDward Gaming79c1,130$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.11353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9702…1042backed EDward Gaming55c1,113$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.821546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Team WE44c1,111$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.8419844.9%89 W · 109 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Team WE39c1,111$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.9353640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed EDward Gaming56c1,100$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48423932.6%78 W · 161 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00d…0016backed EDward Gaming58c1,064$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Team WE21c1,054$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.3712042.5%51 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed EDward Gaming78c1,050$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.54955.1%27 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked EDward Gaming78c1,025$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.512646.8%59 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6a…2dcfbacked Team WE29c1,023$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed Team WE43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4304748.9%23 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked EDward Gaming77c999.99$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23079653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed Team WE11c999.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11019839.9%79 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed EDward Gaming57c999.89$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.9528843.8%126 W · 162 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01b1…0436backed Team WE21c985.05$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.