Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc94251b1c8b5f3919135e43b98383893555eb892e94cc6050b2f53d68dc4561
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 49c | 1,747$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.27 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 761.8$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.84 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e90…be2bbacked Under | 57c | 604.84$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.53 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Over | 51c | 471.57$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x308e…90c9backed Over | 51c | 400.12$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.06 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…bf4dbacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Over | 52c | 399.96$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.98 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 51c | 346$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.54 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 51c | 296.08$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 26c | 231$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 226 | 36.7%83 W · 143 L | -16.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…fa19backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Under | 57c | 184.04$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 53c | 173.79$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…02bbbacked Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 49c | 154.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 26c | 151.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 51c | 129.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Over | 51c | 118.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed Over | 51c | 117.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 44c | 111.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 56c | 102.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Over | 52c | 97.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 65c | 94.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 51c | 92.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -10.4wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 44c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 44c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…7340backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…b58bbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 47c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…b590backed Over | 51c | 34.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 60c | 29.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa73…c2c4backed Over | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59e…da59backed Under | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 364 | 67.3%245 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)EDward Gaming won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group PerseveranceEDward Gaming won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.