TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa00d…0016

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.63
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+330.6%+$81.83
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.51
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.38
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$40.66
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.49
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.19
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49.49
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$327.52
All 11 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.65
Will Mercedes achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+191.5%+$47.39
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+391.9%+$194.01
Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.9
Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$155.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.77
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$383.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$816.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$446.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$34.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.