South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-03-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc00f117de8f98cd855dab5842856cda28e1d580f66c1ad590b6ae1ab9c57edc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 68c | 3,230$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.38 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 33c | 3,071$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 1,456$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.15 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 30c | 914.64$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 3c | 565.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 33c | 436.36$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 31c | 291.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 219.8$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 18c | 217.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 31c | 204.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 155.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 24c | 153.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 33c | 103.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 13c | 86.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 70c | 63.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3c…cf9cbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…ca41backed Yes | 32c | 46.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…0016backed No | 69c | 35.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…198ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 67c | 18.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-03-03?this page
- Will CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.