South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f6874c70976926f8f69f4e59e00069afc3005c7f74d6d147b19f6c5ab06c9e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 67c | 2,336$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.93 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 66c | 1,188$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.98 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 11c | 945.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 32c | 625.36$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.09 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 13c | 499.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 444.11$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.67 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 36c | 438$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.68 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 386.3$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.94 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 8c | 191.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 181.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 36c | 162$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…0d71backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 18c | 97.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 36c | 56.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 35c | 46.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4780…0c3fbacked Yes | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 22.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-03-03?No won
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.