South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65740ffa829809dd433759ac1a7e98efdc5f9432d2814c6201073b663a20b4d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 66c | 11,816$7,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,788.81 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 18c | 3,279$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 37c | 3,243$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.38 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,961$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.14 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 36c | 1,831$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.35 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 1,776$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.06 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 34c | 1,460$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.6 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,287$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.02 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 1c | 1,229$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 33c | 1,215$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Yes | 32c | 1,128$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.04 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 835.26$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.8 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 34c | 787$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.42 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 34c | 762.14$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.7 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 37c | 735.66$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.35 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 32c | 695.16$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.71 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 66c | 594.09$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.1 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 28c | 301.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.89 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 63c | 267.32$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.41 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 34c | 242.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 196.3$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.76 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 52c | 191.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 29c | 173$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 56c | 138.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 32c | 124.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 67c | 104.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 66c | 91.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 62c | 90.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…1363backed Yes | 36c | 75.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…0d71backed No | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 65c | 53.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 29c | 52.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 47.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 34c | 39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 35c | 35.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No | 68c | 32.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 34c | 32.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3070…7606backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 74c | 28.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 68c | 21.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 72c | 21.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-03?this page
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-03-03?No won
- Will CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.