South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1caea6fd504ca268b57b5c0560c63df551ca8b07c75f382bc6ddbe42bb852a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,600 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 43,850$18,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,465.98 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 41c | 39,167$16,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,003.28 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 33,595$20,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,037.93 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 41c | 29,005$11,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,769.51 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 26,142$15,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,567.22 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed No | 60c | 25,000$15,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,906.72 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 59c | 13,059$7,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,331.94 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 11,386$7,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,062.36 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 5,174$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.78 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 4,770$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.6 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1038…fd48backed Yes | 40c | 4,375$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Yes | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes | 40c | 3,928$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 3,716$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.9 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Yes | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 7c | 2,741$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edf…7eadbacked Yes | 41c | 2,520$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 2,464$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e33…5825backed No | 64c | 2,312$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 37c | 2,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.97 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,923$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 3c | 1,679$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201d…2e13backed Yes | 2c | 1,137$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 39c | 1,113$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.18 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 41c | 1,105$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 58c | 1,015$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.52 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 39c | 956.41$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 60c | 890.35$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.22 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 59c | 890$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.9 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Yes | 7c | 876.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 844.65$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 63c | 793$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Yes | 15c | 751.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 41c | 748.5$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.62 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 31c | 734$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.03 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 699.66$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.63 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed No | 60c | 681.47$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 41c | 668$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.88 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 61c | 638.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.2 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 58c | 563.67$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.74 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 529.15$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.92 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 39c | 487.82$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.37 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de8…a76bbacked Yes | 40c | 487.5$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 45c | 423.02$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.8 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 36c | 402.78$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 55c | 397.87$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.62 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…2dcebacked Yes | 39c | 394.85$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 58c | 393.88$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.76 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Yes | 41c | 380.78$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…fd64backed Yes | 65c | 380.77$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 59c | 375.58$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.48 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 40c | 356.3$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 58c | 344.94$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.83 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…f630backed Yes | 41c | 343.9$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 337.84$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.8 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 42c | 336.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed No | 38c | 330.15$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed No | 56c | 324.07$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 59c | 314.39$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 66c | 304.67$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.03 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 39c | 300$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 37c | 278$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed Yes | 34c | 274.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 70c | 258.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 39c | 258.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +267.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…e0a7backed Yes | 48c | 247.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 59c | 246$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 59c | 240$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 64c | 239.57$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…2c8ebacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed Yes | 7c | 234.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 57c | 221.14$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…b39bbacked Yes | 37c | 213.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Yes | 36c | 205.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Yes | 19c | 203.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Yes | 35c | 198.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Yes | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…f362backed Yes | 40c | 184.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed No | 59c | 174.35$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 48c | 170.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 53c | 166$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked No | 57c | 163.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc6…8f85backed Yes | 41c | 152$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…9f1fbacked Yes | 42c | 151$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?No won
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.