TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,835

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,835 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e29…9e66backed No72c15,534$11,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,349.621947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c14,149$3,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,990.583,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c6,191$4,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.491,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No57c5,631$3,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.681,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes45c4,860$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.4649449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c4,591$3,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.925,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes36c4,201$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.48,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No72c2,764$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.453060%18 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes20c2,300$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.6246530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes28c1,255$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.423354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No79c1,191$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.851,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes29c1,169$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes14c1,158$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6327133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c929.01$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.121,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes28c800.27$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9128231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes10c716.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.51526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19621849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed Yes26c677$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.024153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes28c607.76$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1712741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes43c530.3$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.341752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No77c520.14$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.521,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No72c481.6$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.577143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes20c436.25$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2521251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes16c409$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3211334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes28c357.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.019956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes28c322.65$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.347722.1%17 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b2…5f43backed Yes6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No72c292.18$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.815560%33 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No73c250$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes6c249.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8621132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No72c208.9$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4917066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No71c180$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.267548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Yes29c173.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.332254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes12c163.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.644332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes15c157.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.945746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513335.3%47 W · 86 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes28c154.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.023,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No71c147.91$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.61973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+32.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes17c147$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.521,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes28c141.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1350746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes10c139.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes35c134.29$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475026%13 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes17c125.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9185220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6cdc…a9afbacked Yes51c122.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b7…de43backed Yes31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes28c116.62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3549535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c4…865fbacked Yes29c115$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fa…d9b0backed Yes29c112$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed Yes32c108.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+51.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes17c107.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2510550.5%53 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb35a…c452backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+57.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3183642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes27c99.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3627053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes17c94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9832936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes15c91.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4294848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe427…c02bbacked Yes29c90$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes26c81.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2210033%33 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes28c77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.582,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd418…d11fbacked Yes30c75.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.772050%10 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes26c68.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9381651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes29c65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.85825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes17c63.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6527442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13cd…c599backed Yes48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+47%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No71c61.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8384943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Yes28c58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.243740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes28c56.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.811,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3570…3e6fbacked Yes45c56.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes29c55.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c6…b718backed No72c55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5358…44e8backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154450%22 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No73c51.62$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.021,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes27c50.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6810964.2%70 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.756235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158668.6%59 W · 27 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No72c47.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2310058%58 W · 42 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes30c46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.758530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes26c44.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6916534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc2d…181dbacked No72c44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3a7…8102backed Yes54c39.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd87e…20ebbacked No47c37.45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.851154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed No75c35.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.692365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6b…591abacked Yes29c34.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.061338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc73b…c3e9backed No70c32.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.593250%16 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes31c32.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No70c29.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed No67c29.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.624957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa045…13b3backed No74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685a…ad0fbacked No72c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7145…7fdcbacked No72c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…2995backed No47c22.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.01850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb9…505fbacked No72c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…a9cabacked No72c20.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b89…24cabacked No72c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+130.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked No72c16.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.696855.9%38 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.