TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc3a7…8102

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.13
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$15.86
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$10.6
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.86
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+267.1%+$73.57
Mavericks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.71
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$13.43
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+156%+$29.64
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+213.3%+$37.63
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$41.94
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$12.19
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Dalma Galfibacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Jay Clarkebacked Jay Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.57
Yokkaichi: James McCabe vs Hayato Matsuokabacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Yokkaichi: Hayato Matsuoka vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.89
Murcia: Sebastian Ofner vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.48
Miami Open: Alycia Parks vs Sinja Krausbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.62
Murcia: Elmer Moeller vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+128.1%+$27.17
Miami Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Colton Smithbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.79
Murcia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$12.4
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Santiago: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Andrea Collarinibacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$5.97
Dubai Tennis Championships: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Bublikbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+58%+$6.89
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Dubai Tennis Championships: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+77.3%+$9.18
Mexican Open: Rafael Jodar vs Cameron Norriebacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+62.6%+$7.43
Delray Beach Open: Tommy Paul vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: K27 vs WW Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$6.01
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$8.44
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$36.96
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.89
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$9.85
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.58
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+54%+$7
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$6.52
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.65
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+348.4%+$111.23
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs WW Team (BO3) - Exort Meteor Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs WW Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$44.92
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+32.1%+$3.82
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.65
Flames vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$20.16
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$13.91
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.5%+$6.04
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.3%+$7.13
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+79.5%+$9.45
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+233.1%+$41.55
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+115.8%+$13.75
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.04
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.54
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.76
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+116.2%+$13.81
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+39.8%+$5.92
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.04
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+271.3%+$46.69
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$32.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.82
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$55.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$9.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$11.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+41.2%+$10.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LiXO eSports vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked LiXO eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.