Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb68f656ee03468ea074e4bf1913b547d1fe0c63dd7908610ea20c3f249c6942
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,158 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 12,299$6,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250.74 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 50c | 7,777$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888.5 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…c898backed Over | 32c | 1,600$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 77c | 1,591$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.06 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 1,448$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.89 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 54c | 855.46$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.01 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 794.56$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.66 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 699.43$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.01 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 45c | 649.33$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.3 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 51c | 586.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 58c | 504.88$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.83 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 64c | 468.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 390.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 380.94$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.86 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Over | 52c | 375.04$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…9f9abacked Over | 74c | 304.05$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b5…b505backed Over | 74c | 304.05$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…d7ecbacked Under | 26c | 304.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…6d1cbacked Under | 26c | 304.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb056…40e1backed Under | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +338.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e9…1a62backed Over | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…f5c0backed Over | 43c | 261.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 42c | 207.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Over | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 42c | 153.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 23c | 149.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 54c | 148.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 82%50 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 23c | 125$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 22c | 125$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 77c | 116.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 72c | 110$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 46c | 108.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 99.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Over | 56c | 89.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 57c | 88.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0f4dbacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 38c | 52.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Under | 38c | 44.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…8102backed Under | 48c | 38.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 52c | 38.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 51c | 33.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 46c | 32.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 50c | 31.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 76c | 28.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed Over | 63c | 24.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 45c | 22.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d9…5a08backed Over | 60c | 21.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Under | 48c | 20.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 107 | 71%76 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 70c | 14.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Over | 78c | 13.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 1.5this page
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 2.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 3.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.