TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Eintracht Braunschweig vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,145 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b4d…e246backed Over51c10,007$5,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,103.774650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.975653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c7,636$4,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.873,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over41c4,997$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,025.9733244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under64c4,055$2,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.5353645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under52c2,956$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over51c2,137$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0904254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Over51c1,569$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick49cpaid-68.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over34c1,239$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.133215.6%5 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-52.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under49c1,120$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.23461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c534.67$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.841,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over37c490$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.32729.6%8 W · 19 L-7.1wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-49.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005044%22 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over51c388$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8815244.1%67 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303240.6%13 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017652.3%92 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over45c278.84$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.398050%40 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c275.66$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.91,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed Under51c249.12$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over40c199.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010246.1%47 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over52c184.62$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9618958.2%110 W · 79 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cc9…ab99backed Under49c178$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x611e…dc87backed Over51c173.02$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5b…920bbacked Over51c172.1$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf50…3246backed Under49c166$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e93…7e80backed Over51c165.9$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7940…b26fbacked Under49c162$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6039…b13ebacked Under49c162$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ca…0d64backed Under49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under68c156.21$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.741,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe97b…f776backed Over51c154.19$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd64b…18a9backed Under49c154$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a08…c2d6backed Over51c152.71$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309123.1%21 W · 70 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc8…17cfbacked Over51c143.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e0…ebf0backed Over51c140.29$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a7…f577backed Over51c139.22$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x801d…589ebacked Over51c139.15$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c79…3779backed Under49c139$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e43…1b63backed Under49c138.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ce…4058backed Under49c138$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15de…6860backed Over51c136.22$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x263b…734abacked Under49c136$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2f…d52dbacked Over51c135.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2e…4752backed Over51c133.81$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a20…06febacked Over51c131.62$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf20…76f4backed Under49c131$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0276…0360backed Over51c127.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x064c…5721backed Under49c126$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd539…282dbacked Under49c122$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x837c…e427backed Over51c121.86$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd869…6421backed Under49c121$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf2…4955backed Under49c119$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa13a…c43dbacked Under49c117$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…2432backed Under49c117$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60f…aba8backed Over51c116.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over39c115.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452025%5 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd63c…5976backed Under49c113$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28de…ffebbacked Over51c109.18$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd9…05e6backed Under49c108.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee74…d148backed Over51c108.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3885…9718backed Over51c107.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…c587backed Under49c104$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8245…56e8backed Over51c103.85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3938845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Under49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.991747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over30c98.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1922221.6%48 W · 174 L-34.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.154949%24 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under50c94.92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5663645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.754551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014758.5%86 W · 61 L+15.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026433.3%88 W · 176 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over30c62.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7825352.2%132 W · 121 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under49c58.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3348146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under65c57.82$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.242343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306147.5%29 W · 32 L-8.5wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.852665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Under65c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.912240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x201d…2e13backed Under67c42.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.951573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.168647.7%41 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019055.3%105 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over45c39.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185742.1%24 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020540%82 W · 123 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201963.2%12 W · 7 L+5.5wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+101.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Under50c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6b…591abacked Over35c35.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.33785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+95.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked Over49c32.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Over40c32.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.138151.4%196 W · 185 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e6…c602backed Under50c28.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over51c28.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5725850.4%130 W · 128 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bf…3d48backed Under52c25.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over51c25.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.16558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+73.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over50c23.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.111,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under61c22.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8953140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbfb…ba4cbacked Under50c22.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Over51c20.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.37862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.