UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22db175d9a11c0f2528772a2ac57837fed78f26c1277a281090592395c87924d

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Vitor Petrinoof Vitor Petrino, Steven Asplund
Resolved: Mar 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,189,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,189,029 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Vitor Petrino	66c	300,000$198,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101,999.94	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Vitor Petrino	65c	260,000$169,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90,649.95	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Steven Asplund	36c	149,322$53,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,124.79	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Steven Asplund	34c	105,000$35,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,700	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Steven Asplund	34c	86,473$29,401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,400.66	92	40.2%37 W · 55 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Steven Asplund	34c	84,000$28,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,560	68	50%34 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44fd…b634backed Steven Asplund	32c	57,902$18,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,515.2	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+5.1wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Vitor Petrino	68c	56,146$38,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,967.15	195	44.6%87 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Steven Asplund	34c	50,000$17,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,000	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Steven Asplund	34c	30,967$10,542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,542.18	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Steven Asplund	35c	25,872$9,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,055.14	75	34.7%26 W · 49 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Steven Asplund	35c	20,803$7,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,281.03	82	20.7%17 W · 65 L	-12.6wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-48%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Steven Asplund	33c	20,727$6,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,888.58	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Vitor Petrino	66c	17,592$11,632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,960	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Steven Asplund	34c	16,556$5,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,629	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.31per pick	45cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Vitor Petrino	65c	16,000$10,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,600	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Steven Asplund	35c	15,452$5,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,348.2	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Steven Asplund	33c	12,353$4,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,027.8	87	54%47 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Vitor Petrino	60c	11,588$6,956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,632.64	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Steven Asplund	27c	11,386$3,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,019.43	60	45%27 W · 33 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Steven Asplund	34c	11,107$3,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,776.3	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vitor Petrino	66c	10,439$6,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,531.85	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Vitor Petrino	66c	10,026$6,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,408.81	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Vitor Petrino	67c	10,000$6,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,300	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1604…ff0ebacked Steven Asplund	63c	9,141$5,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,799.94	28	71.4%20 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c7a…8536backed Vitor Petrino	65c	9,082$5,903 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,178.66	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Vitor Petrino	66c	9,000$5,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,029.95	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Vitor Petrino	66c	8,306$5,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,862.57	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Steven Asplund	34c	8,000$2,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,720	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Vitor Petrino	52c	7,907$4,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,810.53	84	34.5%29 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd72…b6c6backed Steven Asplund	68c	7,759$5,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,245.4	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed9d…8301backed Steven Asplund	34c	7,255$2,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,466.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Steven Asplund	33c	7,120$2,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,349.78	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed Steven Asplund	34c	6,930$2,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,356.2	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Steven Asplund	34c	6,607$2,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,226.73	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Steven Asplund	34c	6,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Steven Asplund	35c	5,758$1,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.24	142	37.3%53 W · 89 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Vitor Petrino	65c	5,757$3,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,014.9	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Steven Asplund	13c	5,606$713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.98	159	39.6%63 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1d…6d93backed Steven Asplund	34c	5,565$1,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,892.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Vitor Petrino	67c	5,000$3,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,650	117	46.2%54 W · 63 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Steven Asplund	39c	5,000$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,950	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Vitor Petrino	69c	4,247$2,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,306.79	169	45.6%77 W · 92 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Vitor Petrino	65c	4,027$2,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,390.26	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Vitor Petrino	68c	3,606$2,452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,153.92	149	29.5%44 W · 105 L	-15.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Vitor Petrino	44c	3,381$1,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,909.59	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Steven Asplund	18c	3,208$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.58	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Vitor Petrino	42c	3,169$1,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,830.55	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Vitor Petrino	67c	3,118$2,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,014.12	31	77.4%24 W · 7 L	+4.4wins	+0.14per pick	63cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vitor Petrino	65c	3,000$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Steven Asplund	34c	3,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa850…f1babacked Vitor Petrino	66c	2,744$1,811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$932.87	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Steven Asplund	33c	2,646$873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$873.18	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Steven Asplund	33c	2,603$859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$858.6	86	36%31 W · 55 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Steven Asplund	34c	2,481$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.59	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Vitor Petrino	57c	2,023$1,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$866.37	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Vitor Petrino	67c	1,845$1,233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.34	146	43.8%64 W · 82 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Steven Asplund	33c	1,774$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.81	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Steven Asplund	34c	1,760$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.39	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-10.9wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Steven Asplund	11c	1,742$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.35	96	38.5%37 W · 59 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Vitor Petrino	66c	1,713$1,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585.15	540	56.7%306 W · 234 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Vitor Petrino	65c	1,707$1,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597.54	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Steven Asplund	31c	1,707$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.71	180	38.9%70 W · 110 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Steven Asplund	56c	1,653$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$933.41	378	54.8%207 W · 171 L	+20.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Steven Asplund	34c	1,634$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Steven Asplund	63c	1,583$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.86	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Vitor Petrino	66c	1,560$1,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.39	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aab…9ae0backed Steven Asplund	33c	1,515$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Vitor Petrino	40c	1,500$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$895	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Vitor Petrino	66c	1,500$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-5.3wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b61…599cbacked Vitor Petrino	69c	1,446$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.8	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-3.3wins	-0.20per pick	55cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Vitor Petrino	66c	1,435$947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.85	86	50%43 W · 43 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Vitor Petrino	49c	1,400$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$710	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d31…0286backed Vitor Petrino	67c	1,378$923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.61	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	71cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Steven Asplund	37c	1,346$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	186	47.3%88 W · 98 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0506…8c6abacked Vitor Petrino	42c	1,345$566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$778.75	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Vitor Petrino	45c	1,339$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$737.55	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Vitor Petrino	40c	1,331$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.85	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Steven Asplund	35c	1,320$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.25	92	28.3%26 W · 66 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Vitor Petrino	51c	1,258$641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.49	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Vitor Petrino	67c	1,250$833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.5	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Vitor Petrino	66c	1,176$774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.22	60	63.3%38 W · 22 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Steven Asplund	35c	1,134$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.94	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Vitor Petrino	51c	1,127$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.88	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Vitor Petrino	28c	1,105$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795.91	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7927…33cfbacked Steven Asplund	34c	1,100$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Vitor Petrino	66c	1,002$663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.27	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Vitor Petrino	67c	1,000$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf05…f8e1backed Vitor Petrino	69c	1,000$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	70cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1abf…6024backed Vitor Petrino	67c	1,000$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330	26	73.1%19 W · 7 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Vitor Petrino	45c	994$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.13	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Steven Asplund	37c	971.99$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.6	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Vitor Petrino	50c	942$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.07	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Steven Asplund	30c	918$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.99	360	48.3%174 W · 186 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Steven Asplund	31c	856.46$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.54	291	33.7%98 W · 193 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked Steven Asplund	36c	833.33$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3b…eeb1backed Vitor Petrino	60c	832.92$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.17	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e3…1080backed Steven Asplund	40c	820.81$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.32	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-6.7wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Vitor Petrino	64c	820$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.2	422	54.3%229 W · 193 L	+14.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Steven Asplund	43c	816.2$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	299	48.8%146 W · 153 L	-9.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event