NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd08e40d297d7e2dce848b962fed6b8d48e70be315f88a937ea0f6ca3515ff86c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,004,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,004,995 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Mavericks | 45c | 300,000$134,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134,734.62 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Warriors | 55c | 199,998$110,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,998.95 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 38c | 182,615$69,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,536.43 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 56c | 124,409$69,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,739.79 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Mavericks | 47c | 124,159$58,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,039.23 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors | 76c | 123,556$93,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,001.06 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Warriors | 54c | 107,462$58,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,432.43 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Mavericks | 31c | 102,562$31,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,790.67 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Warriors | 31c | 100,000$31,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,999.81 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Mavericks | 44c | 80,004$35,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,201.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Warriors | 68c | 70,141$47,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,289.98 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 55c | 66,105$36,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,047.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 47c | 65,890$30,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,156.93 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Warriors | 56c | 60,000$33,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,399.96 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Warriors | 56c | 58,859$32,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,897.81 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed Mavericks | 15c | 55,004$8,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,442.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Mavericks | 69c | 48,750$33,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,637.42 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Warriors | 59c | 48,421$28,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,924.65 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 64c | 44,906$28,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,378.41 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 54c | 42,987$23,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,750.03 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Warriors | 32c | 40,687$13,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,681.14 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Mavericks | 45c | 40,222$18,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,253.23 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Mavericks | 9c | 39,974$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.76 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Mavericks | 40c | 39,657$15,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,860.27 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Mavericks | 46c | 39,288$18,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,200.94 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Mavericks | 25c | 34,807$8,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,646.69 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 53c | 32,500$17,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,275 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Warriors | 58c | 31,800$18,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,253.94 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors | 72c | 31,768$22,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,035.37 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks | 27c | 27,738$7,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,566.21 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 55c | 27,306$15,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,286.05 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 59c | 26,699$15,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,046.62 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…05e5backed Mavericks | 17c | 25,705$4,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Warriors | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,250 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Mavericks | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Warriors | 50c | 23,421$11,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,807.44 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 55c | 22,216$12,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,002.23 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Mavericks | 72c | 22,000$15,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,859.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Mavericks | 46c | 21,962$10,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,053.88 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Mavericks | 47c | 21,220$9,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,973.32 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 46c | 18,690$8,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,059.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Mavericks | 66c | 18,519$12,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,241.65 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Warriors | 54c | 18,261$9,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,416.73 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 50c | 18,089$9,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,993.54 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 45c | 17,926$8,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,074.67 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mavericks | 47c | 17,472$8,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,212.05 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…7642backed Warriors | 74c | 17,420$12,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,556.44 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors | 54c | 16,750$9,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,718.83 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Mavericks | 9c | 16,731$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Warriors | 31c | 16,075$4,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,091.51 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Mavericks | 46c | 15,110$6,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,903.73 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mavericks | 69c | 15,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,350 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Warriors | 53c | 15,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,099.97 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Warriors | 55c | 14,788$8,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,629.14 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Warriors | 55c | 14,718$8,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,575.92 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 71c | 13,944$9,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,108.76 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors | 74c | 13,594$10,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,562.4 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Warriors | 56c | 12,837$7,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,703.86 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Warriors | 78c | 12,498$9,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.65 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Warriors | 66c | 12,040$8,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033.62 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Mavericks | 1c | 11,200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Mavericks | 45c | 11,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Mavericks | 54c | 10,000$5,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,360 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Warriors | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mavericks | 45c | 9,995$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.64 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Mavericks | 55c | 9,734$5,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,339.26 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…b63bbacked Mavericks | 46c | 9,700$4,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,462 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e17dbacked Warriors | 54c | 9,700$5,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,462 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Warriors | 46c | 9,588$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,188.14 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Mavericks | 47c | 9,458$4,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.19 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fa…4c42backed Mavericks | 45c | 9,130$4,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,108.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Warriors | 40c | 9,069$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,469.21 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Warriors | 55c | 8,484$4,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.13 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440.01 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks | 0c | 7,750$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Mavericks | 16c | 7,747$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.56 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Mavericks | 44c | 7,636$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.84 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Mavericks | 21c | 7,624$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.43 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Warriors | 66c | 7,590$4,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.86 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3dffbacked Mavericks | 44c | 7,568$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.39 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 53c | 7,124$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Mavericks | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks | 70c | 7,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…b8babacked Warriors | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…4304backed Mavericks | 45c | 6,699$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Warriors | 42c | 6,681$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900.66 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Mavericks | 60c | 6,667$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Mavericks | 20c | 6,666$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.2 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Warriors | 54c | 6,528$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.38 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Warriors | 56c | 6,296$3,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.43 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd350…8ae8backed Mavericks | 33c | 6,218$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Warriors | 79c | 6,200$4,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.15 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Mavericks | 25c | 6,184$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.37 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mavericks | 68c | 6,004$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,087 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Warriors | 65c | 5,793$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.63 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Warriors | 53c | 5,770$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.9 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Mavericks | 45c | 5,516$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.16 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…3cd9backed Warriors | 56c | 5,354$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Warriors | 49c | 5,309$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.92 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Mavericksthis page
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Klay Thompson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.