NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f21c8932d2daba457a8d2d58b13840a8cad29cdc8efbf9a8a5c123533ba00de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $746,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $746,159 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 51c | 337,291$172,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,272.63 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Mavericks | 49c | 299,300$146,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,657 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 50c | 122,433$60,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,477.62 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 114,977$57,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,488.46 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Mavericks | 52c | 48,222$25,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,075.59 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 48c | 44,028$21,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,718.04 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks | 49c | 41,420$20,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,295.74 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Warriors | 51c | 35,058$17,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,179.24 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Mavericks | 51c | 29,297$14,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,930.95 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 48c | 28,832$13,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,040.72 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 31c | 8,987$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,223.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Warriors | 49c | 8,094$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.08 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Mavericks | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors | 49c | 6,770$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.62 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Mavericks | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 47c | 5,987$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.47 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Mavericks | 50c | 5,372$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Warriors | 51c | 4,156$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.54 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Warriors | 50c | 3,970$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 52c | 3,750$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Warriors | 50c | 3,698$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.24 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks | 47c | 3,689$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.07 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 51c | 3,411$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.82 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…3a0fbacked Warriors | 48c | 2,999$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…6d60backed Warriors | 48c | 2,962$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…905ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 2,921$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c5…3870backed Warriors | 48c | 2,880$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…4172backed Mavericks | 52c | 2,851$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b0…2df5backed Mavericks | 52c | 2,838$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Warriors | 51c | 2,835$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.38 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb0…a082backed Mavericks | 52c | 2,786$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dac…fb80backed Mavericks | 52c | 2,712$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a9…7d7cbacked Warriors | 48c | 2,625$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…24b7backed Warriors | 48c | 2,613$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd910…410fbacked Warriors | 48c | 2,601$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…cc13backed Mavericks | 52c | 2,572$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Mavericks | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 50c | 2,426$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.26 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 47c | 2,283$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.87 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Warriors | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Mavericks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Warriors | 69c | 1,868$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.81 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Warriors | 46c | 1,748$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.15 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 50c | 1,692$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.91 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Mavericks | 58c | 1,555$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…f724backed Mavericks | 53c | 1,421$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.15 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,271$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.08 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Mavericks | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,171$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.3 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,103$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.48 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ad…2d59backed Mavericks | 42c | 1,101$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.71 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors | 47c | 1,049$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.64 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Mavericks | 51c | 989.5$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.65 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Warriors | 46c | 978.26$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.26 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Warriors | 47c | 958.17$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.17 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Mavericks | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Warriors | 63c | 882.08$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.08 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…0426backed Warriors | 51c | 867.65$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.65 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Warriors | 43c | 846.64$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.99 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…39b0backed Warriors | 74c | 828.92$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.72 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Warriors | 48c | 823.77$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.36 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Mavericks | 61c | 813.5$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.32 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Mavericks | 47c | 678.79$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Warriors | 46c | 667$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.18 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 51c | 654.29$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.59 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb178…1fa0backed Mavericks | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Mavericks | 50c | 586.62$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.31 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Mavericks | 52c | 577$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.04 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Mavericks | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 50c | 544.79$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.46 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Mavericks | 18c | 540.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Mavericks | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12f…e61dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 467.59$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.15 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Mavericks | 52c | 462$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.24 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Mavericks | 19c | 453.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Mavericks | 53c | 450$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Warriors | 49c | 448.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.98 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Mavericks | 58c | 446.7$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.16 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 42c | 426.54$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.66 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Mavericks | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Warriors | 50c | 397.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.73 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Warriors | 52c | 392.92$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…611cbacked Warriors | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…cde3backed Mavericks | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a8…d8cdbacked Mavericks | 53c | 372.24$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.61 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Warriors | 53c | 368.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Mavericks | 61c | 350$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Mavericks | 50c | 333.92$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Warriors | 49c | 326.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.96 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8698…871fbacked Mavericks | 58c | 320.54$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Mavericks | 53c | 317.91$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.86 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Warriors | 66c | 316.09$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Mavericks | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Mavericks | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Mavericks | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Klay Thompson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. MavericksWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.