NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf032459a8fbf2f92d91bdde02f699494f8cfb9ddd19960e24382503d5fa95077
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,448 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 73,550$37,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,261.76 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 52c | 30,881$16,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,008.53 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 18,888$9,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,444 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 12,868$6,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,667.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d0…743dbacked Over | 49c | 8,600$4,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,386 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 48c | 7,416$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.32 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Over | 48c | 7,292$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.67 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Over | 48c | 7,292$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.67 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 6,039$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.35 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…db6fbacked Under | 51c | 5,496$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 48c | 5,337$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.07 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Under | 54c | 4,998$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.8 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 48c | 4,945$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.42 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 4,669$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.76 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…06f8backed Under | 51c | 3,100$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 2,740$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 48c | 2,008$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.16 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 2,000$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 54c | 1,853$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.67 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Over | 46c | 1,824$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.96 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 53c | 1,438$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.93 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 47c | 1,260$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.8 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Over | 48c | 1,244$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.73 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Under | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 48c | 1,108$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.01 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 1,046$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.82 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 964.08$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.83 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 852.59$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.69 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 53c | 788.54$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.93 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Over | 50c | 788.14$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.14 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 51c | 779.6$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.6 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 737.68$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.59 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 49c | 705.07$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.26 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 48c | 692.75$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.23 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 660.4$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.21 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 620.57$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.56 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 596.13$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.44 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 452.72$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 406.54$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.47 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Under | 49c | 399.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…9672backed Under | 17c | 397.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 51c | 340.53$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.49 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 13c | 302.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Under | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Over | 48c | 198.17$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed Under | 54c | 185.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 54c | 179$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 51c | 148$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 51c | 147.14$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 40c | 142.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…4623backed Under | 8c | 118.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 46c | 104.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686d…9eb4backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 48c | 98.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 90.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Over | 46c | 89.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 51c | 87.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…b96cbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 60c | 83.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 74.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 48c | 72.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 69.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 46c | 67.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Under | 49c | 55.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +13.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…9c62backed Over | 53c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Over | 47c | 50.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…80a7backed Over | 50c | 46.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +49%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…6967backed Over | 32c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -17.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 52c | 37.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…3fcfbacked Under | 52c | 37.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 46c | 36.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 53c | 36.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 53c | 34.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 41c | 31.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2830…c47bbacked Under | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Under | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 50c | 26.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a06dbacked Under | 40c | 25.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…2139backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 49c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked Over | 48c | 24.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Klay Thompson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. MavericksWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.