NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99d764ecb9be0c2024a74b6a9dd02e93763719d4eb89b69ed4c9ffc044d5dfdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,213 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 68c | 50,276$34,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,035.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Warriors | 29c | 49,980$14,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,486.05 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 54c | 31,075$16,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,425.2 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 46c | 22,634$10,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,489.57 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks | 48c | 7,514$3,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617.29 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 52c | 7,303$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Mavericks | 46c | 5,100$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 54c | 3,857$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.31 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 58c | 3,193$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.1 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Mavericks | 49c | 2,455$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.99 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Mavericks | 71c | 1,796$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.82 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 46c | 1,326$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.92 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Warriors | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 54c | 1,007$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.3 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Warriors | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 51c | 925.05$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Warriors | 30c | 832.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.09 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Mavericks | 25c | 718.61$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.42 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Mavericks | 48c | 630.19$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.56 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Mavericks | 69c | 565.31$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.69 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks | 30c | 500.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 51c | 345.27$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.27 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Warriors | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Mavericks | 46c | 285.54$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 51c | 279.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors | 51c | 273.39$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.85 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Mavericks | 71c | 249.52$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.52 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Warriors | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Warriors | 52c | 213.67$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Warriors | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Warriors | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Mavericks | 27c | 187.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Mavericks | 55c | 164.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Mavericks | 24c | 144.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Warriors | 53c | 141.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed Mavericks | 46c | 134.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Mavericks | 22c | 113$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 38c | 107.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…629fbacked Mavericks | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Mavericks | 48c | 103.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Mavericks | 68c | 101.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 180 | 60.6%109 W · 71 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Mavericks | 68c | 100.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Warriors | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…2139backed Mavericks | 67c | 99.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Warriors | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Warriors | 33c | 89.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Mavericks | 46c | 81.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Warriors | 55c | 73.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55d…001ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 70.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…0704backed Mavericks | 50c | 69.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 187 | 55.6%104 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 53c | 68.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Warriors | 52c | 67.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Warriors | 54c | 62.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Warriors | 54c | 61.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Mavericks | 50c | 61.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Mavericks | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Warriors | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…03a5backed Mavericks | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…e929backed Warriors | 43c | 49.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Warriors | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfea…8006backed Mavericks | 71c | 47.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Warriors | 73c | 46.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15df…c68bbacked Mavericks | 69c | 41.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 52c | 41.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Warriors | 58c | 40.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked Mavericks | 47c | 35.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Warriors | 49c | 32.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Mavericks | 46c | 31.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Mavericks | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Mavericks | 69c | 29.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Warriors | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Mavericks | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Mavericks | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…93b1backed Warriors | 77c | 22.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Mavericks | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…3dfbbacked Warriors | 55c | 20.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…e2d3backed Warriors | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Warriors | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb389…f59cbacked Mavericks | 74c | 19.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…4b14backed Mavericks | 71c | 18.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Warriors | 62c | 18.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…997dbacked Mavericks | 71c | 18.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…1e75backed Warriors | 79c | 15.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4360…6df8backed Warriors | 79c | 13.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Klay Thompson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. MavericksWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.