TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb389…f59c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT7341.1%30 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.61
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+124.6%+$40.29
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$20.51
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.68
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.72
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.92
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.75
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.73
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$22.2
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.38
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+204.6%+$57.29
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.64
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.51
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$57.64
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Kings vs. Magicbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$56.38
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT4854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$123.26
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.41
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.58
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.43
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.89
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$152.06
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.51
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.71
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$37.07
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.05
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$137.52
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.58
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.65
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.24
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$11.03
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$24.01
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$75.59
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$28.86
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.13
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.36
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.11
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$180.57
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$20.36
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.06
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$46.05
Capitals vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.78
Ducks vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$52.77
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$71.35
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.07
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-67%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.83
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.27
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+39%+$12.48
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick37cpaid+109%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-67.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+252.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$72.89
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$23.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+378.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+378.5%+$60.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$29.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$33.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$19.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverevbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.