NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f3875ff89bea0da81401032db64c57e53c9434ca67521e3f351d25c8ff74551
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,489,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,489,915 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Penguins | 40c | 573,927$229,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229,142.29 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Avalanche | 60c | 387,653$234,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,484.53 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche | 60c | 150,000$90,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,000 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Penguins | 45c | 71,910$32,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,189.43 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Avalanche | 60c | 42,996$25,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,199.87 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Avalanche | 60c | 41,751$25,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,700.42 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Avalanche | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,999.99 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Penguins | 39c | 39,868$15,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,548.53 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 40c | 34,167$13,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,602.95 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Penguins | 39c | 21,518$8,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,392.21 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Penguins | 36c | 21,496$7,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,810.02 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Avalanche | 60c | 17,930$10,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,122.75 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Penguins | 39c | 17,850$6,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,961.5 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Penguins | 42c | 16,833$7,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,025.46 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Avalanche | 59c | 13,347$7,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,472.31 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Avalanche | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Penguins | 39c | 8,993$3,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.76 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Penguins | 41c | 8,496$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed Avalanche | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Avalanche | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Avalanche | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Penguins | 41c | 7,993$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277.04 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…087cbacked Avalanche | 60c | 5,500$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Avalanche | 60c | 5,082$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Penguins | 40c | 5,017$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.87 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Avalanche | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Penguins | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Avalanche | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Penguins | 3c | 4,909$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…e627backed Penguins | 41c | 4,787$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Penguins | 40c | 4,505$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.91 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Penguins | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Penguins | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…48d4backed Avalanche | 59c | 4,400$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +113%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa50c…efc8backed Penguins | 41c | 4,390$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x808f…0c6ebacked Avalanche | 59c | 4,354$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 59c | 4,334$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.73 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc359…9a41backed Avalanche | 59c | 4,300$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Avalanche | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Avalanche | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Avalanche | 61c | 3,962$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.3 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 60c | 3,939$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.21 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc555…06f5backed Penguins | 41c | 3,866$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…4568backed Avalanche | 41c | 3,520$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Avalanche | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.2 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Penguins | 39c | 3,333$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.87 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…e6d8backed Penguins | 41c | 3,310$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08c…0598backed Avalanche | 59c | 3,300$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Penguins | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Penguins | 39c | 3,000$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.96 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d8…a0acbacked Avalanche | 59c | 2,608$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Penguins | 38c | 2,542$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.87 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…49b5backed Penguins | 40c | 2,534$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed67…77c2backed Penguins | 40c | 2,464$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…ea4cbacked Avalanche | 59c | 2,390$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Avalanche | 50c | 2,331$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Avalanche | 50c | 2,331$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.39 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Avalanche | 59c | 2,092$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.66 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Avalanche | 60c | 2,038$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Avalanche | 60c | 2,014$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.35 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Penguins | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Penguins | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c40…6778backed Avalanche | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Avalanche | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Avalanche | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Penguins | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fa…b63bbacked Penguins | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Penguins | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Penguins | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.98 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5d…a45dbacked Penguins | 41c | 1,995$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…f93cbacked Penguins | 41c | 1,995$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6090…6920backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,995$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x311e…ee43backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,995$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ec…ca61backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,990$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde8…d0eabacked Penguins | 41c | 1,990$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…9ba6backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,985$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebbe…9e28backed Penguins | 41c | 1,985$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 61c | 1,978$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.32 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…7e45backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,975$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4261…2bd8backed Penguins | 41c | 1,975$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3efb…ec2ebacked Penguins | 41c | 1,975$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2e…7cabbacked Avalanche | 59c | 1,975$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.75 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 53cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x041e…e763backed Penguins | 41c | 1,955$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcca…4937backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,955$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…13aabacked Penguins | 41c | 1,955$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…bf98backed Penguins | 41c | 1,955$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd8…f2a9backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,955$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bef…48f5backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,950$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…b1c3backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,950$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac79…edf6backed Penguins | 41c | 1,950$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf349…22e6backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,950$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef7…d6abbacked Penguins | 41c | 1,950$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4482…5207backed Penguins | 41c | 1,950$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d00…cd3fbacked Avalanche | 59c | 1,950$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…2f8dbacked Avalanche | 59c | 1,950$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2e…2c94backed Penguins | 41c | 1,950$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa0…d0f7backed Penguins | 41c | 1,950$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce94…999bbacked Penguins | 41c | 1,945$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…e665backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,945$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Penguinsthis page
- Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.