NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9330e1a14dc2a9bc05fe1b0ff3c1622f0e71aa7a9d9642df0c3aa8ae5fd615c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $492,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,355 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 54c | 429,717$231,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198,282.8 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 46c | 215,097$98,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,944.54 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 97,095$45,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,101.67 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 46c | 73,871$33,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,980.6 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…03b6backed Under | 47c | 16,684$7,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,841.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d0…743dbacked Over | 53c | 16,200$8,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,614 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 46c | 15,595$7,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,173.61 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 5,036$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.28 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…db6fbacked Over | 53c | 4,700$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…06f8backed Under | 47c | 4,200$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.8 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.99 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 2,275$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.13 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 2,235$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.6 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 48c | 2,036$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.33 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 53c | 1,870$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.58 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 47c | 1,478$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.65 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 1,434$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.64 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…461ebacked Over | 52c | 1,285$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 1,023$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.62 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 47c | 826.55$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.48 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Over | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Under | 47c | 738$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.86 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 53c | 732$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.13 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…6967backed Under | 3c | 666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…599bbacked Over | 54c | 661.22$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 639.45$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.04 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 638.05$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.5 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 52c | 628.76$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.81 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 53c | 596.11$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.17 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 46c | 588.61$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.53 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…aa48backed Under | 48c | 494.38$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 48c | 486.69$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.44 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 46c | 448.37$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.25 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 35c | 436.32$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.41 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 48c | 413$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 408.85$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…56b3backed Over | 52c | 383.46$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 48c | 298.4$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.23 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 47c | 295.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.12 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 6c | 268.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 250.9$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 48c | 236$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…6156backed Under | 47c | 228.86$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…daf2backed Over | 53c | 228.86$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…f67cbacked Under | 47c | 226$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc960…cc6cbacked Over | 53c | 225.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Over | 53c | 225.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31c…f098backed Under | 47c | 225$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…9562backed Over | 53c | 224.43$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1055…1f80backed Under | 47c | 223$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…cba8backed Under | 47c | 223$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6917…fc95backed Over | 53c | 222.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…db89backed Over | 53c | 222.96$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…e79dbacked Over | 53c | 222.85$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…f024backed Over | 53c | 222.46$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 57c | 220.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd5…edffbacked Under | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…e8eabacked Over | 53c | 219$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd367…5474backed Under | 47c | 219$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…6518backed Under | 47c | 218$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2329…8379backed Over | 53c | 217.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e4…e6c5backed Under | 47c | 217$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…645ebacked Under | 47c | 214$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…b900backed Over | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f68…0474backed Under | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…f954backed Over | 53c | 212.54$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478d…8cb8backed Over | 53c | 210.15$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x333a…6b9ebacked Under | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25b…a93bbacked Over | 53c | 209.03$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e5…e4fbbacked Under | 47c | 209$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 48c | 208.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 221 | 51.1%113 W · 108 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6525…dad1backed Under | 47c | 207$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0ce0backed Under | 47c | 207$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1059…a714backed Under | 47c | 207$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf139…153cbacked Over | 53c | 206.31$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…50aabacked Over | 53c | 203.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4a…5bc5backed Over | 53c | 202.57$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33c…4f05backed Over | 53c | 202.04$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…33a7backed Over | 53c | 200.69$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…c3b0backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x139c…2634backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Over | 52c | 194.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Over | 52c | 192.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe812…96f8backed Under | 49c | 173$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5this page
- Avalanche vs. PenguinsAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.