TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x268e…bb7f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$465.9
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-12.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-7.5)backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.77
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.29
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 169.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.36
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.91
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.43
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$299.28
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$91.2
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$97.14
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$111.22
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.58
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.03
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-14.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.85
Spread: Florida Gators (-35.5)backed Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.66
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-2.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.59
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$113.4
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-24.5)backed Tennessee State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.02
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.41
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-30.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$111.22
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$111.03
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.59
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.24
Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.42
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$27.3
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.9
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.54
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$291.34
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$308
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+525%+$420
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.27
Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$99
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$96.8
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.5
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$138.96
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$290.27
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.74
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.43
Chicago White Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$168.34
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$165.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Zheng (-1.5) vs Stephens (+1.5)backed Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Fucsovicsbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Mattia Belluccibacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Miami Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.5
Miami Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.64
Miami Open: Janice Tjen vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$81
Miami Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Tatjana Mariabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.4
Morelos: Tyler Zink vs Miguel Tobonbacked Tyler Zink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$66.3
Miami Open: Francesca Jones vs Venus Williamsbacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$300.24
Miami Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)backed Adelaide United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.