MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b6968af06c1328b66ff5b433e0ce6a770ea068c36b17d8f01d94f163d902ef6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 113,258$74,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,750.28 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked New York Mets | 34c | 100,000$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,000 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed New York Mets | 35c | 37,233$12,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,301.44 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked New York Mets | 34c | 23,400$8,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,334.4 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 20,048$13,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,031.19 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New York Mets | 34c | 14,935$5,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,857.1 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 13,757$8,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,894.31 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…92e0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 7,500$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 5,999$3,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.06 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Mets | 47c | 5,916$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125.51 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 5,880$3,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880.8 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed New York Mets | 33c | 4,997$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347.78 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 4,429$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.68 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 3,847$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.94 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 1,624$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.84 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32dd…c881backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 1,475$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 1,057$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.88 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New York Mets | 64c | 914.2$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.72 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed New York Mets | 63c | 831.43$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.52 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 60c | 811.21$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 65c | 767.85$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 760$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.2 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 732.08$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.85 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked New York Mets | 35c | 715.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.17 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 700$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 681.39$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.58 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 407.4$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.78 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed New York Mets | 64c | 315.59$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.61 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked New York Mets | 34c | 289.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 250$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed New York Mets | 63c | 174.94$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 163.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 163.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked New York Mets | 13c | 148.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.12 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 141.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 133.07$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked New York Mets | 13c | 132.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed New York Mets | 56c | 131.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…67a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 131.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 131.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…78f6backed New York Mets | 34c | 131$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 120.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked New York Mets | 34c | 119.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked New York Mets | 21c | 117.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a06dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 116$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 113.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x791f…804dbacked New York Mets | 34c | 112$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 111.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 64c | 108.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 106.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked New York Mets | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed New York Mets | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…7e25backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 98.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 98.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Mets | 23c | 97.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 96.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 92.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f3…c784backed New York Mets | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed New York Mets | 53c | 75.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…b634backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 73.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 73.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 69.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232a…c386backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 63.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb2…8540backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 58.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked New York Mets | 34c | 50.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 46.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…14a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d24…360abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…041ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 43.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…accabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed New York Mets | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 39.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4625…f7f6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 38.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 37.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…2c57backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…98e6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed New York Mets | 64c | 32.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed New York Mets | 36c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed New York Mets | 34c | 31.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…455dbacked New York Mets | 69c | 28.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 27.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…6c9bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…6eadbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…cc8fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…0535backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 24.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…b61cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 22.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 22.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 21.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 21.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)this page
- NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York MetsNo won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)New York Mets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.