TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e4a…311cbacked Under42c28,107$11,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,847.9412247.5%58 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under42c12,888$5,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,412.967839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over60c12,458$7,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,020.0610647.2%50 W · 56 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed Over58c11,760$6,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,939.44940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Over56c7,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,079.993740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over72c6,119$4,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.0912,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Over57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.985248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x178d…43fcbacked Under43c4,360$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72062447.6%297 W · 327 L-2.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a22…c593backed Under44c3,589$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under44c2,579$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.876048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over58c2,201$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.4275049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over58c1,700$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.451,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over57c1,610$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.371,07848.1%518 W · 560 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over57c1,522$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.0547447.3%224 W · 250 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Under43c1,040$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4471435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Under43c930.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over58c813.94$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.851,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under43c777.13$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.011,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over58c672.41$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.416,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under43c578.27$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3114444.4%64 W · 80 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under4c488.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.973929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over58c407.11$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.2232348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under42c393$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0611454.4%62 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under42c375$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1599,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Under44c366.32$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16111547%54 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Under44c333.33$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.672532%8 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-46.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over57c322.27$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.125,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12611647.4%55 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over58c254.74$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9925349.4%125 W · 128 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over58c254.74$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.991,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over58c244.24$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.581,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over58c244.24$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5828646.2%132 W · 154 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95fc…10f6backed Under43c240.42$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.383033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over58c231.74$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3327146.9%127 W · 144 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Under43c220.93$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955752.6%30 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under42c203$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5631038.4%119 W · 191 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21fb…fd64backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,53848.6%747 W · 791 L-5.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over57c196.97$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.476,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Under40c183.49$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.440%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Over59c182.61$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.875541.8%23 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under42c174.89$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5423248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under44c170.23$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0914442.4%61 W · 83 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4914953%79 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over58c162.29$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3719848.5%96 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under44c159.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7044348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over58c132$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4480052%416 W · 384 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over56c115.4$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.788948.3%43 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under42c114$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8822851.3%117 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc480…ae0ebacked Over59c110.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.171637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under42c107$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9428049.6%139 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x118d…0d42backed Under42c105.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over58c102$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8427351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Under48c100.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under22c92.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2754815.9%87 W · 461 L-41.1wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf89f…32b0backed Over60c91.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.672227.3%6 W · 16 L-6.2wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-48.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.81,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over55c87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.151,93941.2%799 W · 1,140 L-30.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc1b…0adebacked Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3537048.9%181 W · 189 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Over57c78.32$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.421643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Over58c77.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.583438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under45c75.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.281,94753.1%1,033 W · 914 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Under42c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.515848.1%76 W · 82 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over58c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.563454.3%344 W · 290 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over57c73.71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.566956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1267653.1%359 W · 317 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over52c71.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.254156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe725…2b00backed Under43c69.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0870…1e49backed Over60c66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under42c56.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8310649.1%52 W · 54 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18f…c57abacked Over59c42.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.261931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.213453.7%72 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a6a…98ddbacked Over58c39.17$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.451241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over57c37.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.951,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over58c36.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.242965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0525748.2%124 W · 133 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6343…58a3backed Under43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf804…8758backed Under43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over54c29.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7128850.3%145 W · 143 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Over58c29.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.381618.8%3 W · 13 L-5.7wins-0.36per pick54cpaid-68.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under42c28.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.135240.3%142 W · 210 L-23.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x787a…9199backed Under43c26.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.363036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf237…4989backed Over57c26.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.313135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa06c…6aa8backed Over59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4250949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Under47c24.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.751145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over77c24.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.531,87452%975 W · 899 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04c…c640backed Under43c23.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.49725.8%25 W · 72 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa60d…03a8backed Over57c19.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.39952.5%52 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over63c18.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8310747.7%51 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.