MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19560f1838efe461809c61e909fe8e7b2076849dd57a3e3f7fd8b97e309ae485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Under | 42c | 28,107$11,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,847.94 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 42c | 12,888$5,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,412.96 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Over | 60c | 12,458$7,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,020.06 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Over | 58c | 11,760$6,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,939.4 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Over | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.99 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 6,119$4,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.09 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Over | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.98 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…43fcbacked Under | 43c | 4,360$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a22…c593backed Under | 44c | 3,589$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 44c | 2,579$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.87 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 58c | 2,201$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.42 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 58c | 1,700$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 57c | 1,610$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.37 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 57c | 1,522$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.05 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Under | 43c | 1,040$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Under | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 58c | 813.94$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.85 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 777.13$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.01 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 58c | 672.41$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.41 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 43c | 578.27$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.31 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 4c | 488.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 58c | 407.11$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.22 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Under | 42c | 393$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.06 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 375$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Under | 44c | 366.32$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Under | 44c | 333.33$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.67 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 322.27$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.12 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 58c | 254.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 58c | 254.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 58c | 244.24$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 58c | 244.24$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Under | 43c | 240.42$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.38 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 58c | 231.74$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Under | 43c | 220.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 42c | 203$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…fd64backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 57c | 196.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Under | 40c | 183.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Over | 59c | 182.61$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 42c | 174.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 44c | 170.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 58c | 162.29$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 58c | 132$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 56c | 115.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 42c | 114$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…ae0ebacked Over | 59c | 110.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 42c | 107$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…0d42backed Under | 42c | 105.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 58c | 102$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Under | 48c | 100.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 22c | 92.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…32b0backed Over | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -6.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 55c | 87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…0adebacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Over | 57c | 78.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Over | 58c | 77.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 75.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Under | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 634 | 54.3%344 W · 290 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 57c | 73.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 52c | 71.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe725…2b00backed Under | 43c | 69.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0870…1e49backed Over | 60c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 42c | 56.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Over | 59c | 42.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…98ddbacked Over | 58c | 39.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 57c | 37.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 58c | 36.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…58a3backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 54c | 29.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Over | 58c | 29.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.7wins | -0.36per pick | 54cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 42c | 28.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…9199backed Under | 43c | 26.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Over | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…6aa8backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Under | 47c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 77c | 24.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed Under | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Over | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 63c | 18.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5this page
- NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York MetsNo won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)New York Mets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.