TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc1b…0ade

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 62 out of 100; worst Golf at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+99.6%+$19.92
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$75
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$46.96
Chargers vs. Patriots: 1H Moneylinebacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$23.49
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Spread: Rams (-5.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Packers (-7.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
1H Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$85.18
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$200
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.22
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.56
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.56
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.59
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$45.75
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-11.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.28
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.98
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.28
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.88
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-8.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.13
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-17.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99.13
All 18 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+50.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
College Football — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Spread: Oregon (-21.5)backed James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+170.3%+$68.11
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$49.09
Spread: Alabama (-6.5)backed Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Vanderbilt vs. Tennesseebacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+110.5%+$41.99
Spread: Ohio State (-10.5)backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Spread: Georgia (-4.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.02
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$155.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$150.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.